The New York Mets will head south to Marlins Park to square off against their divisional rival Miami Marlins. SportsNet New York will be airing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Odds
New York (-115) is favored over Miami (+105) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for the under and -110 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds coming in at Mets -1.5 runs (+130) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-150).
The Marlins are 60-56 against the spread (ATS), but just 47-67 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 0.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.6 units (ATS). Miami has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Mets are 46-64 SU and have gone 51-60 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 21.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 15.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Miami games have an over/under record of 58-55-3 in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 48-58-5.
Zack Wheeler is getting the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed Wheeler (6-6, 3.89 ERA) has recorded 125 strikeouts in 127.1 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 16 strikeouts and a 1.38 ERA against Miami this year (two starts).
The Marlins are handing the ball to righty Jose Urena (3-11, 4.66 ERA), who has 101 punchouts and 36 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.26. Urena is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 5.40 ERA in one start against New York this year.
New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.05 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.01 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.93, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K-per-9 of 8.37.
The Mets offense has slashed .229/.310/.379 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
New York’s offensive production has been fueled by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and outfielder Michael Conforto, who’ve collectively belted 32 home runs. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored. Conforto (.235/.350/.397) is up to 14 homers, 39 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
For the home team, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.55, a WHIP of 1.33 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 5.15 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 44 games against divisional foes, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.92.
Miami’s hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .199/.223/.335 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that span.
The Marlins’ offense has been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .289/.336/.408 with nine home runs, 41 RBIs and 64 runs scored, and Anderson’s line is .288/.368/.420 with nine homers, 53 RBIs and 63 runs.
The Mets have lost 13.8 units and are 38-45 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 36 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have netted 2.1 units and are 42-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 42 of those games, as opposed to 41 that’ve gone under.
New York Mets at Miami Marlins Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER