New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cincinnati Reds will try to avoid losing their fourth in a row they play host to the New York Mets at Great American Ball Park. SportsNet New York will televise this NL matchup. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds Odds

New York (+120) is entering this game as the underdog against Cincinnati (-130) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Gamblers can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds standing at Mets +1.5 runs (-175) and Reds +-1.5 runs (+155).

The Reds are 8-27 SU and 16-18 ATS. They’ve lost 17.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.2 units against the spread (ATS). The Mets are 18-15 SU and have gone 15-17 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 0.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 0.9 units ATS.

Reds games have an over/under record of 16-18 so far in 2018. New York has an over/under record of 16-15-1.

Jason Vargas will get the start for New York. The left-handed Vargas is 0-2 with a 16.20 ERA and eight strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Reds are sending righty Luis Castillo (1-4, 7.01 ERA) to the mound. Castillo has 31 strikeouts and 14 walks to his name, as well as a 1.67 WHIP. Castillo did not record a start against the Mets in 2017.

Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The teams starters have an ERA of 5.68, a WHIP of 1.48 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 6.9. The bullpen has a 4.83 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

The Cincinnati offense has produced 4.0 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The teams hit .201/.294/.384 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Reds offense has been led by Joey Votto, who is slashing .282/.404/.444 with five home runs, 19 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.43 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.52 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.89, along with a K-per-9 of 9.14.

Mets hitters have slashed .234/.320/.379 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).

New York’s hitters have been spearheaded by Asdrubal Cabrera, who is hitting .320/.369/.555 with six home runs, 21 RBIs and 22 runs scored.

The Mets are coming off a 7-6 victory in the prior game of this series.

New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in four of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • The Mets have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 13 over their last 10.
  • Cincinnati has posted 23.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 16.0 over its last five.
  • The Reds have lost six of their last seven games SU.