New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cincinnati Reds are playing host to the New York Mets at Great American Ball Park. SportsNet New York will be airing this NL matchup and the opening pitch will be at 12:35 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Odds

Cincinnati (+105) is the underdog against New York (-115) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. The games most recent runline odds sit at +130 for taking the Mets -1.5 runs and -150 for the Reds +1.5.

The Mets have gone 18-16 SU this year and are 15-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.7 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, despite having lost 1.9 units ATS. The Reds, on the other hand, are 9-27 SU and 17-18 ATS. They’ve lost 18.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.2 units ATS.

Reds games have an over/under record of 17-18 thus far in 2018. Mets games have gone over 17 times, gone under 15 times and pushed on one occasion.

Zack Wheeler will get the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed Wheeler is 2-2 with a 5.79 ERA and 24 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Reds are sending righty Sal Romano (2-3, 4.21 ERA) to the mound. Romano has 19 punchouts and 16 walks to his name, as well as a 1.38 WHIP. Romano made two starts against the team in 2017, posting a 1-0 record in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record with a 4.09 ERA and 11 strikeouts.

As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game overall this year. The teams starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.51, a WHIP of 1.45 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.0. The bullpen has a 4.71 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.

The Cincinnati offense is putting up 4.1 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .245/.328/.460 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Reds hitters have been led by Eugenio Suarez, who is slashing .315/.407/.630 with five home runs, 25 RBIs and 14 runs scored. Suarez enjoyed hitting against right-handed pitching at home last year, slashing .279/.380/.604 over 229 such plate appearances (his total season line was .260/.367/.461).

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.53 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.36 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.98, along with a WHIP of 1.32.

Mets hitters have slashed .233/.319/.377 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

New York’s offense has been paced by Asdrubal Cabrera. Cabrera is slashing .326/.372/.553 with six home runs, 21 RBIs and 23 runs scored.

The Reds are coming off a 7-2 win in the prior game of this series.

New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • The Mets have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • The New York defense has allowed four errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for Cincinnati over its last 10.