New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox will play host to the New York Mets at Fenway Park. The game gets underway 1:05 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will be televising this interleague showdown.

New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Boston (-190) is favored over New York (+180) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 7.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Mets +1.5 runs (-125) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (+105).

The Red Sox are 102-47 straight up (SU) and 86-62 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 34.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 22.4 units (ATS). Boston has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Mets are 69-79 SU and have gone 73-73 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 10.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 6.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Boston games have had an over/under record of 68-73-7 in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 65-73-8.

The right-handed Jacob deGrom is the projected starter for the visiting Mets. deGrom is 8-9 with a 1.71 ERA and 239 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Red Sox this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Red Sox will turn to lefty Chris Sale (12-4, 1.96 ERA) to the mound. Sale has 221 strikeouts and 33 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.85. Sale did not record a start against the Mets in 2017.

Boston’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.73, a WHIP of 1.20 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 3.50 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

The Boston hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .222/.304/.340 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led the charge for the Red Sox offense this year. Martinez is hitting .328/.398/.628 with 41 home runs, 122 RBIs and 106 runs scored, and Betts is hitting .338 with 29 homers, 71 RBIs, 118 runs and 28 stolen bases.

For the visitors, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.69 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.13 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.94, along with a K/9 of 8.48.

The Mets offense has slashed .236/.314/.394 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this season, including 6.2 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Shortstop Amed Rosario and right fielder Michael Conforto continue to lead New York’s offense. Rosario is slashing .257/.297/.392 with nine home runs, 47 RBIs, 70 runs and 18 steals. Conforto (.237/.341/.431) is up to 25 homers, 68 RBIs and 71 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 6.1 units and are 19-21 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 32.2 units and are 68-45 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 52 of those games, compared to 56 that went under.

New York Mets vs. Boston Red Sox Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • New York has tallied 19 extra-base hits over its last five games. Boston has 11 XBH over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
  • New York has averaged 22.0 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 21.8 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have won five of their last six games SU.