New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Mets are ready to face off against their division rival Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. The matchup will begin at 7:35 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to SportsNet New York.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Odds

Vegas is listing Atlanta (+145) as the underdog to New York (-155). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over eight runs and +100 for under eight. Runline odds sit at -110 for taking the Mets -1.5 runs and -110 for the Braves +1.5 runs.

The Mets have gone 13-5 SU this year and are 11-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 9.7 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 7.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 11-7 SU and 12-5 ATS. They’ve gained 6.0 units for moneyline bettors and 7.8 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Atlanta games have an over/under record of 6-8-3 so far in 2018. The Mets have an over/under record of 8-9.

Noah Syndergaard will get the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed Syndergaard is 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA and 33 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 0.00 ERA and seven strikeouts over six innings).

The Braves are sending lefty Sean Newcomb (1-1, 4.02 ERA) to the mound. Newcomb has 22 strikeouts and eight walks to his name, as well as a 1.53 WHIP. Newcomb made three starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-2 record in 2017, putting together a 1-2 record with a 2.70 ERA and 22 strikeouts.

Atlanta’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.26 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.39 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 13 games against NL East opponents, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.69 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.56.

The Atlanta offense is putting up 5.8 runs per outing, including 5.8 per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .300/.380/.429 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Braves’ batters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies. Freeman is hitting .306/.470/.500 with 19 hits, 13 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while the line for Albies stands at .316/.349/.646 with five homers, 11 RBIs and 19 runs.

Freeman enjoyed hitting against righty pitching at home in 2017, slashing .362/.475/.638 over 160 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .307/.403/.586).

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.92 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 10.22 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.31, along with a K/9 of 10.19.

Mets hitters have slashed .240/.338/.401 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

New York’s hitters have been powered by third baseman Todd Frazier and second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera. Frazier is slashing .293/.434/.534 with three home runs, 14 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Cabrera is slashing .343/.377/.600 with four homers, nine RBIs and 16 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .214/.345/.425, Frazier seemed to enjoy hitting left-handed pitching on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .260/.383/.660 across 60 such plate appearances.

The Mets have gained 2.5 units and are 3-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in one of those games, as opposed to three that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 5.5 units and are 11-4 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in five of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve gone under.

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Atlanta has recorded 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.8 over its last five.
  • Each team has hit 11 home runs over its last 10 outings.