New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves will play host to the New York Mets at SunTrust Park. Pix11 will be showing the action and the opening pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Odds

Both teams have matching -105 moneyline odds and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the games total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds standing at Mets -1.5 runs (+140) and Braves 1.5 runs (-160).

The Mets have gone 14-6 SU this year and are 12-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 9.6 units for moneyline gamblers through the early portions of the year and 7.4 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 12-8 SU and 13-6 ATS. The team has gained 6.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.5 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Braves games have an over/under record of 8-8-3 so far in 2018. The Mets have an over/under record of 10-9.

Zack Wheeler will get the nod for New York. The right-handed Wheeler is 1-1 with a 2.77 ERA and nine strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Braves are sending righty Mike Foltynewicz (1-1, 2.53 ERA) to the mound. Foltynewicz has 26 strikeouts and nine walks to his name, as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Foltynewicz did not record a start against the Mets in 2017.

Atlanta’s pitchers have yielded 3.9 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The clubs starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.04, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 3.51 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 15 games against NL East opponents, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.32 and the bullpens ERA is 2.82.

The Atlanta hitters are putting up 5.5 runs per outing, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .270/.347/.404 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Braves hitters have been led by first baseman Freddie Freeman and second baseman Ozzie Albies. Freeman is hitting .296/.446/.493 with 21 hits, 15 RBIs and 13 runs scored, and Albies is batting .302 with six homers, 12 RBIs and 21 runs scored.

Freeman performed well against right-handed pitching at home last season, slashing .362/.475/.638 in 160 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .307/.403/.586).

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.71 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 10.32 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.47, along with a K/9 of 10.40.

Mets hitters have slashed .238/.336/.389 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

New York’s offense has been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier. Cabrera is slashing .354/.391/.608 with four home runs, 12 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Frazier is hitting .258/.400/.470 with three homers, 14 RBIs and 12 runs scored.

Frazier enjoyed hitting against righties on the road in 2017, putting up a slash line of .261/.386/.505 across 228 such plate appearances (his total season line was .214/.345/.425).

The Mets have gained 6.2 units and are 8-6 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in eight of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 5.5 units and are 12-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in seven of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve gone under.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Mets have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Braves have hit nine over their last 10.
  • New York fielders have three errors over the last 10 games, compared to 12 errors for Atlanta over its last 10.
  • The Braves have won three of their last four games SU.