New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Mets will be taking on their divisional foe Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. SportsNet New York will be televising the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 1:35 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Philadelphia (-125) as the favorite over New York (+115). Bettors can gamble on the games total with odds sitting at -120 for over 7.5 runs and even money (+100) for under 7.5. Gamblers can also bet on the games spread with the current runline odds coming in at Mets +1.5 runs (-180) and Phillies +-1.5 runs (+160).

The Phillies are 22-16 SU and 17-21 ATS. They’ve gained 4.0 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 6.8 units against the spread (ATS). The Mets have gone 19-17 SU this year and are 16-20 ATS. In total, the teams gained 0.0 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, but have lost 3.6 units ATS.

Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 18-17-3 so far in 2018. New York has an over/under record of 17-18-1.

Right-hander Jacob deGrom will get the start for New York. deGrom is 3-0 with a 1.87 ERA and 54 strikeouts. He has yet to face Philadelphia this year, but he did make four starts against the team in 2017, posting a 2-1 record with a 3.47 ERA and 29 strikeouts.

The Phillies are turning to righty Zach Eflin (1-0, 0.71 ERA), who’s got 13 strikeouts and three walks to his credit as well as a WHIP of 0.79. Eflin made two starts against the Mets in 2017, posting a 0-1 record with a 4.35 ERA and nine strikeouts.

New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.37 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.29 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.84, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K/9 of 9.00.

The Mets offense has slashed .231/.315/.374 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

New York’s hitters have been powered by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier. Cabrera is slashing .326/.375/.551 with six home runs, 22 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Frazier has a .237 average with five homers, 21 RBIs and 18 runs scored.

Maintaining a slash line of .261/.386/.505 across 228 plate appearances, Frazier performed well against righties on the road in 2017 (his total season line was .214/.345/.425).

In the home-team dugout, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.59, a WHIP of 1.18 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 3.36 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 21 games against NL East opponents, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.10 and the bullpens ERA is 4.48.

The Philadelphia offense has put up 4.7 runs per contest, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over its last five. The teams hit .287/.374/.509 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Phillies hitters have been led by outfielders Odubel Herrera and Rhys Hoskins. Herrera is hitting .360/.429/.566 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while the line for Hoskins stands at .268/.418/.472 with five homers, 25 RBIs and 22 runs.

The Mets have gained 0.2 units and are 11-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 1.2 units and are 11-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 13 of those games, as opposed to 12 which went under the total.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in just two of New York’s last seven games.
  • Philadelphia has recorded 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 25.8 over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.