New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

The New York Mets will be facing off against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. This NL showdown will begin at 2:10 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be televising the game.,

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Vegas is listing Milwaukee (-140) as the favorite over New York (+130). Gamblers are able to bet on the games total with odds posted at -110 for over 9 runs and -110 for under 9. The games current runline odds stand at -170 for taking the Mets +1.5 runs and +150 for the Brewers -1.5.,

The Mets are 25-23 SU and have gone 22-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.1 units for moneyline bettors and 2.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 33-20 SU and 31-21 ATS. The team has gained 14.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.8 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.,

Brewers games have an over/under record of 19-31-2 so far in 2018. Mets games have gone under 26 times, gone over 20 times and pushed on one occasion.,

Right-hander Zack Wheeler is the probable starter for New York. Wheeler is 2-4 with a 5.32 ERA and 47 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 2.84 ERA and six strikeouts across six and one-third innings).,

The Brewers are putting the ball in the right hand of Jhoulys Chacin (3-1, 3.32 ERA, 1.32 WHIP), who’s got 42 strikeouts and 27 walks. Chacin is 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA across one starts against New York this year.,

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.13 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.82 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.01, along with a K/9 of 8.97.,

The Mets offense has slashed .239/.318/.386 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 3.1 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).,

New York’s hitters have been powered by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is hitting .314/.355/.519 with seven home runs, 29 RBIs and 27 runs scored, while Rosario (.253/.280/.380) is up to three homers, 15 RBIs and 19 runs scored.,

For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 3.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.44, a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 10.2.,

Milwaukee’s offense has produced 4.2 runs per contest, including 5.7 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The teams hit .280/.376/.440 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.,

Right fielder Lorenzo Cain and third baseman Travis Shaw have led the Brewers offense this year. Cain is slashing .291/.396/.453 with six home runs, 16 RBIs, 33 runs and 11 steals, while Shaw’s line is .259/.344/.546 with 13 homers, 35 RBIs and 32 runs scored.,

The Mets have gained 0.2 units and are 15-19 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 14.4 units and are 26-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, as opposed to 24 that’ve gone under.,

New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Mets have lost four of their last five games SU while the Brewers have won five of their last six SU.,
  • New York has recorded 18.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.0 over its last five.,
  • The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 18 over their last 10.