New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds Free Preview

he New York Mets are making a road trip to Cincinnati to play the Reds at Great American Ball Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York is in line to televise this NL matchup.

New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds Odds

incinnati (+105) is the underdog to New York (-115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the games runline with the most recent odds sitting at Mets -1.5 runs (+130) and Reds 1.5 runs (-150).

The Reds are just 8-26 SU and 16-17 ATS. They’ve lost 15.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.2 units against the spread (ATS). The Mets are 17-15 SU and have gone 15-16 ATS. Overall, the teams accumulated 1.7 units for moneyline gamblers in the seasons early going and 0.1 units ATS.

eds games have an over/under record of 15-18 so far in 2018. New York has an over/under record of 16-14-1.

.J. Conlon will get the start for the visiting Mets. Conlon is 0-0 with an ERA. He has yet to face the Reds this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

he Reds are planning to start righty Homer Bailey (0-4, 4.81 ERA), who’s got 22 strikeouts and 12 walks, as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Bailey made two starts against the Mets in 2017, putting together a 0-2 record with a 5.25 ERA.

ew York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.37 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.67 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.84, along with a WHIP of 1.30 and a K/9 of 9.40.

he Mets offense has slashed .230/.318/.364 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 1.8 per game over the teams last five contests (0-5 SU).

ew York’s offensive production been powered by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier, who have combined to belt 11 home runs. Cabrera is slashing .333/.382/.577 with six home runs, 21 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Frazier (.248/.370/.431) has produced five homers, 21 RBIs and 18 runs scored.

Putting up a slash line of .261/.386/.505 across 228 plate appearances, Frazier appeared to enjoy hitting righties on the road in 2017 (his overall season line was .214/.345/.425).

or the home team, Cincinnati’s pitchers have given up 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 5.50 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.95 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

he Cincinnati offense is putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over its last five. The teams hit .219/.324/.363 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

he Reds offense has been led by first baseman Joey Votto and third baseman Eugenio Suarez. Votto is hitting .289/.408/.455 with five home runs, 19 RBIs and 13 runs scored, and Suarez’s line is .277/.385/.554 with four homers, 20 RBIs and 10 runs.

uarez appeared to enjoy hitting at home in 2017. Across 298 plate appearances, he slashed .274/.383/.595 (a drop from his total season line of .260/.367/.461).

he Mets have lost 0.1 units and are 10-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to nine that’ve hit the under against ies.

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction

redictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in three of Cincinnati’s last seven games.
  • The Mets have lost seven of their last eight games SU while the Reds have lost five of their last six SU.
  • New York fielders have four errors over the last 10 games, compared to 10 errors for Cincinnati over its last 10.
  • The Mets have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Reds have hit 11 over their last 10.