New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves are set to host their NL East foe New York Mets at SunTrust Park. The action will be televised nationally on ESPN and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:35 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

New York (+145) is entering this one as the underdog to Atlanta (-155) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the games total sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds sitting at Mets +1.5 runs (-150) and Braves -1.5 runs (+130).

The Braves are 37-28 SU and 35-29 ATS. They’ve gained 14.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.8 units against the spread (ATS). Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Mets have gone 28-34 SU this year and are 28-33 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 9.1 units for moneyline bettors and 6.0 units ATS. New York has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.

Braves games have a 30-31-3 over/under record thus far in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 25-35-1.

Right-hander Zack Wheeler is projected to start for the visiting Mets. Wheeler is 2-4 with a 4.57 ERA and 62 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Braves this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Braves are going with righty Mike Foltynewicz (5-4, 2.31 ERA), who has 88 strikeouts and 33 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.19 WHIP. Foltynewicz did not record a start against the Mets in 2017.

Atlanta’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.52, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 3.91 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 39 divisional games, Braves starters have an ERA of 2.96 and the bullpens ERA is 2.95.

The Atlanta offense has produced 5.0 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .272/.311/.478 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

First baseman Freddie Freeman and right fielder Nick Markakis have paced the Braves batters this year. Freeman is hitting .340/.430/.568 with 12 home runs, 45 RBIs, 41 runs and six stolen bases, and Markakis is hitting .327 with eight homers, 43 RBIs and 41 runs.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.72 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.58 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.47, along with a WHIP of 1.26.

The Mets offense has slashed .230/.310/.375 on its way to 3.8 runs scored per game this year, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.4 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

New York’s offensive production been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is slashing .283/.323/.498 with 11 home runs, 36 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Rosario is slashing .244/.275/.353 with three homers, 18 RBIs and 23 runs scored.

The Mets have lost 4.8 units and are 20-24 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 9.9 units and are 26-17 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 18 of those games, compared to 22 that went under.

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Mets have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
  • Atlanta has posted 21.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.6 over its last five.