New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves are prepared to battle against the New York Mets at SunTrust Park. SportsNet New York will be televising the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 12:10 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Atlanta (+110) is coming into this one as the underdog against New York (-120) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds standing at +125 for the Mets -1.5 runs and -145 for the Braves +1.5 runs.

The Braves are 38-28 SU and 35-29 ATS. The teams gained 14.1 units for moneyline bettors and 3.8 units against the spread (ATS). Atlanta has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Mets are 28-35 SU and have gone 28-33 ATS. In total, the teams lost 9.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 6.0 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.

Braves games have a 30-31-3 over/under record so far in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 25-35-1.

Right-hander Jacob deGrom is projected to start for New York. deGrom is 4-1 with a 1.57 ERA and 106 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 24 strikeouts and a 0.50 ERA against Atlanta this year (three starts).

The Braves are sending Mike Soroka (1-1, 3.68 ERA) to the mound. Soroka has 15 strikeouts and four walks to his name, as well as a 1.70 WHIP. Soroka is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against New York this year.

As a unit, Atlanta’s pitchers have yielded 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starters have a 3.47 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.88 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 40 divisional games, Braves starters have an ERA of 2.90 and the bullpens ERA is 2.93.

Atlanta’s hitters have produced 5.0 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .244/.282/.423 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Braves hitters have been led by outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is slashing .333/.393/.500 with eight home runs, 44 RBIs and 41 runs scored, while Freeman is batting .341 with 13 homers, 46 RBIs, 43 runs and six steals.

For the visitors, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.82 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.47 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.51, along with a WHIP of 1.27.

Mets hitters have slashed .228/.308/.372 on their way to 3.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 1.6 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).

New York’s hitters have been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is slashing .278/.318/.490 with 11 home runs, 36 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Rosario (.240/.271/.348) is up to three homers, 18 RBIs and 23 runs scored.

The Braves have gained 9.9 units and are 26-17 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 18 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve hit the under against righty starters.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Mets have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
  • New York has recorded 10.7 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 10.8 over its last five.