New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Betting Preview Game 1

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves will welcome the New York Mets to SunTrust Park in Game 1 of their NL East doubleheader. SportsNet New York is in line to showcase the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Vegas is listing Atlanta (+125) as the underdog to New York (-135). The total stands at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over for -120 and the under for +100. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the most recent odds standing at +110 for the Mets -1.5 runs and -130 for the Braves +1.5.

The Braves are 30-21 SU and 29-21 ATS. The team has gained 10.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.7 units against the spread (ATS). Atlanta has covered the spread just twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mets have gone 25-24 SU this year and are 22-26 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 1.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 4.0 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.

Atlanta games have a 23-24-3 over/under record so far in 2018. New York has an over/under record of 21-26-1.

Jacob deGrom is getting the start for New York. The right-handed deGrom is 4-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 77 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 16 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Atlanta this year (three starts).

The Braves are putting the ball in the left hand of Max Fried (0-2, 6.00 ERA), who has seven strikeouts and three walks this season as well as a 1.33 WHIP. Fried is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against New York this year.

Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The clubs starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.47, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.9. The bullpen has a 3.63 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 31 games against NL East foes, Braves starters have an ERA of 2.99 and the bullpens ERA is 2.77.

The Atlanta hitters have produced 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .257/.330/.389 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Braves hitters have been led by outfielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is hitting .340/.409/.512 with seven home runs, 35 RBIs and 33 runs scored, and Freeman is hitting .325 with nine homers, 38 RBIs, 33 runs and five steals.

Markakis seemed to have some trouble hitting righty pitching at home in 2017. Over 251 such plate appearances, he slashed .231/.295/.323 (his overall season line was .275/.354/.384).

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.18 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.81 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.17, along with a K-per-9 of 8.97.

The Mets offense has slashed .240/.319/.389 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the teams last five contests (1-4 SU).

New York’s offensive production been powered by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and right fielder Jay Bruce. Cabrera is hitting .316/.356/.532 with eight home runs, 31 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Bruce (.235/.307/.358) is up to three homers, 15 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

Cabrera enjoyed batting against left-handed pitching on the road last season. Over 77 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .493/.545/.696 (compared to his total season line of .280/.351/.434).

The Mets have lost 0.2 units and are 7-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in six of those games, as opposed to seven that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 6.7 units and are 22-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 18 which went under the total.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Mets have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • Atlanta has posted 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.6 over its last five.
  • The Mets have lost five of their last six games SU.