New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Free Preview

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

Jeff McNeil and the New York Mets will be taking on their division rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park in a Tuesday showdown. SportsNet New York will showcase the action and the opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Las Vegas has Philadelphia (-145) as the favorite over New York (+135). You can play matchup’s total with current odds listed at -120 for over 10 runs and even money (+100) for under 10. This game currently has a runline of Mets +1.5 (-160) and Phillies -1.5 (+140).

The Mets are 37-42 SU and have gone 37-41 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 11.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 9.1 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 40-38 SU and 36-41 ATS. The team has lost 6.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.7 units ATS. Philadelphia hasn’t covered the spread in any of its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 36-39-2 so far in 2019. New York has been a good over bet with a total record of 43-28-7.

Walker Lockett will get the nod for New York. The right-handed Lockett (0-1, 23.14 ERA) has recorded two punchouts in 2.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Phillies this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (0-1, 10.38 ERA and two strikeouts across four and one-third innings).

The Phillies will deploy righty Jake Arrieta (6-6, 4.12 ERA) to the mound. Arrieta has 73 punchouts and 37 walks as well as a 1.39 WHIP. Arrieta is 1-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 3.21 ERA over two starts against New York this year.

New York’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.40 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.07 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.44, along with a WHIP of 1.29 and a K/9 of 9.26.

The Mets offense has slashed .254/.329/.435 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Outfielder Jeff McNeil and first baseman Pete Alonso continue to lead New York’s offense. McNeil is slashing .339/.403/.488 with five home runs, 27 RBIs and 32 runs scored. Alonso has a .280 average with 27 homers, 61 RBIs and 51 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 4.46, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.67 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 34 games against divisional foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.52 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.34.

Philadelphia’s offense is putting up 4.8 runs per outing, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .279/.361/.483 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have paced the Phillies’ offense this year. Hernandez is hitting .280/.334/.433 with seven home runs, 34 RBIs and 35 runs scored, while Segura’s line is .277/.324/.450 with eight homers, 32 RBIs and 45 runs.

The Mets have lost 8.3 units and are 27-32 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 33 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 1.4 units and are 27-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 30 which went under the total.

Mets at Phillies MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • New York has tallied 21 extra-base hits over its last five games. Philadelphia has 18 XBH over its last five.
  • Philadelphia has recorded 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.2 over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
  • The Mets have a team OPS of .764 this season and an OPS of .741 against right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .743 overall and .726 against righties.