New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Philadelphia Phillies will play host to the New York Mets at Citizens Bank Park. SportsNet New York will televise the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Philadelphia (-180) is hosting this one as the favorite against New York (+170) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -130 for taking the Mets +1.5 runs and +110 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.

The Mets have gone 70-80 SU this year and are 74-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 12.2 units for moneyline bettors and 6.8 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 76-73 SU and 68-80 ATS. The team has lost 1.9 units for moneyline bettors and 21.9 units ATS.

Phillies games have an over/under record of 67-75-6 in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 65-74-9.

Steven Matz will get the nod for the visiting Mets. The southpaw Matz (5-11, 4.18 ERA) has recorded 136 strikeouts in 140 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with 13 strikeouts and a 5.25 ERA against Philadelphia this year (three starts).

The Phillies are planning to start righty Aaron Nola (16-5, 2.42 ERA), who has 201 punchouts and 51 walks, as well as a WHIP of 0.97. Nola is 4-0 with 37 strikeouts and a 1.97 ERA over five starts against New York this year.

As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 4.02, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.98 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 67 games against divisional foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.10 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.49.

The Philadelphia hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .235/.310/.440 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Cesar Hernandez has helped lead the Phillies’ offense this season with 13 home runs, 54 RBIs, 86 runs and 18 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.71 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.15 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.93, along with a K/9 of 8.46.

Mets hitters have slashed .237/.315/.394 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

New York’s offense has been led by Amed Rosario. Rosario is hitting .258/.297/.394 with nine home runs, 49 RBIs, 72 runs and 19 stolen bases.

The Mets are coming off a 9-4 win in the prior game of this series.

New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in five of Philadelphia’s last seven games.
  • The Mets have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 14 over their last 10.
  • New York has averaged 23.0 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 21.6 over its last five.