The Miami Marlins are heading north to Citi Field to face their NL East rival New York Mets. SportsNet New York will be televising the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets Odds
Vegas has listed Miami (+125) as the underdog to New York (-135). The total sits at 7.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -120 and the under for +100. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -170 for the Marlins +1.5 runs and +150 for the Mets -1.5.
The Marlins are 62-96 SU and have gone 81-77 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.4 units ATS. The Mets, on the other hand, are 75-84 SU and 79-78 ATS. The team has lost 10.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.3 units ATS.
New York games have an over/under record of 69-79-9 in 2018. Marlins games have gone over 79 times, gone under 74 times and pushed on five occasions.
Jose Urena will get the nod for Miami. The right-handed Urena is 8-12 with a 4.07 ERA and 128 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with 12 strikeouts and a 4.32 ERA against New York this year (three starts).
The Mets are planning to start Corey Oswalt (3-3, 6.08 ERA), who’s got 41 strikeouts and 17 walks to his name, as well as a 1.35 WHIP. Oswalt is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 9.35 ERA over two starts against Miami this year.
New York’s pitching staff has yielded 4.4 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The club’s starters have an ERA of 3.61, a WHIP of 1.19 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 5.02 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 73 games against divisional opponents, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.05.
New York’s offense has produced 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .205/.326/.353 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Mets’ hitters have been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and outfielder Michael Conforto. Rosario is slashing .257/.296/.384 with nine home runs, 50 RBIs, 76 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Conforto’s line is .245/.354/.455 with 28 homers, 82 RBIs and 77 runs scored.
In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.42 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 7.63 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.42, along with a K-per-9 of 7.96.
Marlins hitters have slashed .238/.305/.359 on their way to 3.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson continue to lead Miami’s offense. Castro is hitting .278/.329/.400 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Anderson (.273/.356/.400) has produced 11 homers, 65 RBIs and 86 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 4.0 units and are 58-57 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 53 of those games, as opposed to 56 that’ve hit the under against righties.
Miami Marlins at New York Mets Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Marlins, O/U – OVER