New York Mets at Miami Marlins Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Mets are traveling south to play their divisional rival Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. The game gets underway 1:10 p.m. ET and Pix11 will be televising the matchup.

New York Mets at Miami Marlins Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Miami (+145) as the underdog to New York (-155). The total sits at 7.5 runs and gamblers can take the over for -120 and the under for an even +100. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Mets -1.5 runs (-110) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-110).

The Mets have gone 47-65 SU this year and are 52-60 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 20.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 14.1 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 47-69 SU and 60-57 ATS. They’ve lost 1.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.0 units ATS.

Marlins games have a 59-55-3 over/under record in 2018. The Mets have been a decent under bet with a total record of 49-58-5.

New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.05 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.08 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.85, along with a WHIP of 1.26 and a K/9 of 8.31.

The Mets offense has slashed .229/.311/.378 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

New York’s hitters have been paced by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and right fielder Michael Conforto, who collectively have blasted 32 home runs. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Conforto (.233/.350/.395) is up to 14 homers, 39 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Miami’s pitchers have given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.53, a WHIP of 1.32 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 5.19 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 44 games against NL East opponents, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.47 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.92.

Miami’s hitters have produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over their last five. The team has hit .189/.213/.314 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Marlins’ batters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is hitting .285/.364/.417 with nine home runs, 53 RBIs and 63 runs scored, and Castro’s line is .285/.331/.401 with nine homers, 41 RBIs and 65 runs scored.

New York Mets at Miami Marlins Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of New York’s last seven contests.
  • The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine games SU.
  • New York has recorded 18.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.8 over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit eight over their last 10.