New York Mets at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, College Basketball

The struggling Baltimore Orioles will try to avoid losing their sixth consecutive game when they play host to the New York Mets at Oriole Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise this interleague matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

New York Mets at Baltimore Orioles Odds

Both teams have equal -105 moneyline odds and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. The game’s runline odds stand at +140 for taking the Mets -1.5 runs and -160 for the Orioles +1.5.

The Orioles are 35-84 straight up (SU) and 50-69 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 41.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.4 units (ATS). Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Mets are 50-66 SU and have gone 52-62 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 20.2 units for moneyline bettors and 16.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Baltimore games have an over/under record of 52-62-5 in 2018. The Mets have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 49-59-6.

Jason Vargas will get the nod for New York. The southpaw Vargas (2-8, 8.75 ERA) has recorded 43 punchouts in 47.1 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Baltimore this year.

The Orioles are putting the ball in the right hand of Andrew Cashner (3-10, 4.83 ERA, 1.51 WHIP), who has 88 punchouts and 51 walks this season. Cashner hasn’t faced the Mets yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Baltimore’s pitchers have given up 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 5.33 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.60 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

Baltimore’s offense has produced 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .250/.326/.405 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that span.

The Orioles’ offense has been led by right fielder Adam Jones and shortstop Manny Machado. Jones is slashing .283/.313/.428 with 12 home runs, 47 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Machado is batting .315 with 24 homers, 65 RBIs and 48 runs.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.02 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.12 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.79, along with a K-per-9 of 8.20.

Mets hitters have slashed .230/.312/.381 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have paced New York’s hitters. Cabrera is hitting .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored, while Rosario (.236/.281/.357) is up to five homers, 32 RBIs, 46 runs and 13 steals.

The Mets have lost 13.8 units and are 39-46 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 37 of those games, compared to 43 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 8.0 units and are 18-21 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in 15 of those games, compared to 23 that went under.

New York Mets at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in four of New York’s last seven games.
  • The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • New York has posted 21.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.6 over its last five.
  • The Mets have won four of their last five games SU while the Orioles have dropped six of their last seven.