New York Giants at Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Free Week 3 Betting Pick

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The New York Giants and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will do battle on the grass of Raymond James Stadium. This late afternoon matchup is scheduled to get underway at 4:05 p.m. ET and FOX will broadcast the action.

Betting Preview: Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. New York Giants

New York is the road underdog in this NFC game and is currently getting 7 points. The Giants are also receiving +220 moneyline odds while the Buccaneers are -260. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 48.5 points, and if one team can create a bunch of points early, it will likely result in a worthwhile live betting scenario.

Early action has been slanting toward the Bucs. The line initially opened at -5 and the O/U was originally 49.

The disappointing Giants are 0-2 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 2.0 units so far in 2019. The team has posted an O/U record of 1-1.

The Buccaneers are up 1.1 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 1-1 ATS and have an O/U record of 0-2.

The Giants have gone 0-2 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Buccaneers are 1-1 SU.

The G-Men came up short to Buffalo 28-14 in a Week 2 contest where their defense allowed the Bills to eat up the clock by rushing for 151 yards on 34 attempts, including three rush TDs. Cole Beasley had a productive day for the Bills in that one with 83 yards on four catches. On the offensive side of the ball, Eli Manning completed 26 passes for 250 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Saquon Barkley (107 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) provided the ground attack in the loss while Evan Engram (six receptions, 48 yards) and Fowler III (five catches, 51 yards) manned the receiving duties.

Tampa Bay is coming off of a 20-14 win over Carolina last week. The defensive secondary allowed the Panthers to air it out for 333 yards. Greg Olsen had a good showing in the defeat for Carolina, posting 110 yards on six catches. For Tampa Bay, Jameis Winston completed 16-of-25 passes for 208 yards and one touchdown. Peyton Barber (82 rushing yards on 23 attempts, one TD) mounted the ground attack in the win while Chris Godwin (eight receptions, 121 yards, one TD) and Mike Evans (four catches, 61 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

New York has run the ball on 28.5 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tampa Bay has a rush percentage of 48.3 percent. The Giants have produced 140 rush yards/game and have two touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Bucs are putting up 110.5 rushing yards per game and have just one rush TD.

It appears that the Giants could own an advantage when it comes to applying pressure. Their offensive line has yielded only 47 sacks while their D-line logged 30 sacks. The Buccaneers, on the other hand, have allowed 41 sacks and their defense has sacked opposing QBs on just 38 occasions.

The G-Men offense has averaged 286.5 yards in the air overall and has two passing scores so far. The Bucs have recorded 201 pass yards per game and also have two total pass TD.

New York has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 120 yards and pass for 329 yards per game. The Tampa Bay defense has allowed 249.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 68.5 yards per game on the ground. The Bucs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.44 to opponents, while the Giants have given up a staggering 11.42 ANY/A.

Winston has connected on 16-of-25 passes for 208 yards, one TD and zero INTs. Winston’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 7.46 for the season and 4.00 across his past two games. In the other locker room, Manning has put up 250 passing yards this year. He’s completed 26-of-45 attempts with one passing touchdowns and two interceptions. Manning’s got a 3.72 ANY/A for the year, though that number is 5.42 over the past two outings.

These two teams faced off last year with the final outcome being a 38-35 win for New York.

New York Giants vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Free NFL Pick

SU Winner: Buccaneers, ATS Winner: Buccaneers, O/U: Under

Betting Trends

  • The Over/Under for New York’s previous game was set at 44.5. The under cashed in the team’s 28-14 loss to Buffalo.
  • The Tampa Bay offense has lost one fumble this season while New York has lost two.
  • The Over/Under for Tampa Bay’s last game was set at 48. The under cashed in that 20-14 victory over Carolina.
  • Each team has produced one pass play of 40 yards or more. The Giants have have made two pass plays of 30+ yards while the Buccaneers have created one such plays.
  • The New York defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Tampa Bay has given up two such plays.
  • The New York offense has created three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Tampa Bay has created zero such runs.
  • The Giants defense has allowed one rushing play of 20 or more yards, while the Buccaneers have given up zero such runs.
  • The Tampa Bay defensive unit has produced four sacks on the year while New York has three.