New Orleans Pelicans vs. Portland Trail Blazers Free Prediction

Jose VasquezArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Portland Trail Blazers (0-1) will be 6.5-point favorites at home in game two of the First Round of the Western Conference Playoffs when they clash against the New Orleans Pelicans (1-0). The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 214 points and it will air on TNT at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, April 17, 2018.

New Orleans Pelicans at Portland Trail Blazers Betting Odds

In game one, Davis led the Pelicans to a 97-95 win. He registered a double-double with 35 points and 14 rebounds. The two teams combined to score 192 points, which was well under the projected point total of 216, and New Orleans covered as a 5-point underdog. New Orleans had a better effective field goal percentage (0.523 vs. 0.439). Portland, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (26.3 vs. 15.9).

New Orleans could struggle to create turnovers. Portland ranks eighth in the NBA at avoiding errors (turnover percentage of 13.1 percent), while New Orleans forces the ninth-fewest turnovers (13.3 percent). Additionally, the Pelicans’ fourth-ranked offense (effective field goal percentage of 0.541) will face off against the Trail Blazers’ fifth-ranked defense (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.503).

Games featuring the Pelicans have typically gone over the total (57.8 percent). New Orleans heads into the game with records of 49-34 straight up (SU) and 46-36-1 against the spread (ATS).

Contrary to New Orleans, games featuring the Trail Blazers have typically gone under the O/U total (56.6 percent). Moreover, Portland owns records of 49-34 SU and 45-31-7 ATS.

The Pelicans’ Nikola Mirotic has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 25.8 points, 12.0 rebounds and 1.2 steals per game. Meanwhile, Jusuf Nurkic has averaged 14.8 points, 12.8 rebounds and 1.6 blocks during that same time frame for the Trail Blazers.

New Orleans Pelicans at Portland Trail Blazers ATS Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Pelicans rank eighth in steals per game (8.0) while the Trail Blazers rank 25th (7.0).
  • New Orleans ranks third in assists per game (26.8) while Portland ranks last (19.5).
  • The Trail Blazers average 13.6 second chance points per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Pelicans rank 28th in second chance points allowed per game (13.9).
  • Portland ranks third in rebounds per game (45.5) while New Orleans ranks 25th in rebounds allowed per game (45.6).
  • Portland ranks fifth in three pointers allowed per game (26.5) while New Orleans ranks 25th (30.7).
  • The Pelicans rank third in fast break points per game (15.3) while the Trail Blazers rank 29th (8.4).
  • The Pelicans rank third in blocks per game (6.0) while the Trail Blazers rank 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
  • Portland ranks fourth in points off turnovers allowed per game (14.7) while New Orleans ranks 21st (17.3).
  • New Orleans ranks first in points in the paint per game (52.3) while Portland ranks 23rd (43.1).
  • When allowing under 100 points, New Orleans is 13-2 and Portland is 26-8.
  • The Trail Blazers are 44-18 when they score more than 100 points, while the Pelicans are 45-22.
  • Portland is 23-15-4 ATS at home, while New Orleans is 27-15 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 22 of the Pelicans’ 42 road games, while 23 of the Trail Blazers’ 42 home games have gone under.

Bettings Trends:

  • The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS over their last five games, while the Trail Blazers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, New Orleans has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Portland has 4 unders and 1 over.
  • During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 116.0 points per game (4.5 above their season average) and allowed an average of 103.2 points per game (7.0 below their season average).
  • The Trail Blazers have been outscored by an average of 2.4 points in their last five games. For the season, Portland has defeated opponents by an average of 2.5 points.