New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction

Jose VasquezArticles, Basketball, NBA

The New Orleans Pelicans (1-3) will try to stave off elimination when they travel to ORACLE Arena to take on the Golden State Warriors (3-1) in game five of the Western Conference Semifinals. The Warriors opened as 12-point favorites. The games Over/Under (O/U) opened at 228 points and it can be seen on TNT at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May 8, 2018.

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Odds

In game four, Durant led the Warriors to a 118-92 victory. He was the games leading scorer with 38 points. The two teams combined to put up 210 points, which was well under the projected point total of 231.5, and Golden State covered as a 6-point favorite. The Warriors turnover percentage was their biggest strength over the Pelicans. Golden State had a rate of 9.7, while New Orleans posted a mark of 15.8.

The high-octane offense of Golden State (second in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 112.4) will go head-to-head against the mid-tier defense of New Orleans (13th in the NBA with a defensive efficiency of 106.2). The Warriors figure to have the advantage on that side of the ball. ,

Pelicans games have typically gone over the projected point total (57.8 percent). New Orleans holds records of 53-37 straight up (SU) and 51-38-1 against the spread (ATS).

Warriors games have finished over the O/U total 49.5 percent of the time. Golden State is 65-26 SU, but they are just 38-50-3 ATS.

The Pelicans Rajon Rondo has been playing well over his last five games, averaging 14.2 assists, 11.6 points, 7.4 rebounds and 1.8 steals per game. Meanwhile, Draymond Green has averaged 14.6 points, 14.6 rebounds and 9.6 assists during that same time frame for the Warriors.

New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors Odds Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Pelicans rank 17th in second chance points per game (12.0) while the Warriors rank 29th (10.3).
  • Golden State ranks first in fast break points per game (19.0) while New Orleans ranks 28th in fast break points allowed per game (14.5).
  • The Warriors average 29.2 assists per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 21st in assists allowed per game (23.8).
  • Golden State averages 17.4 points off turnovers per game, which ranks fifth in the league. New Orleans ranks 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
  • Golden State ranks 14th in three pointers allowed per game (29.1) while New Orleans ranks 26th (30.8).
  • The Pelicans rank first in points in the paint per game (52.6) while the Warriors rank 23rd (43.4).
  • The Warriors rank eighth in rebounds allowed per game (42.5) while the Pelicans rank 25th (45.5).
  • Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while New Orleans ranks fourth (4.3).
  • New Orleans ranks eighth in steals per game (8.0) while Golden State ranks 29th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
  • When holding opponents under 100 points, New Orleans is 13-2 and Golden State is 19-5.
  • In games where they score over 100 points, the Pelicans are 49-24 and the Warriors are 61-16.
  • Golden State is 18-26-2 ATS at home, while New Orleans is 29-16 ATS on the road.
  • The Pelicans have 23 unders and 22 overs in 45 road games.
  • The Warriors have 23 overs, 22 unders and 1 push in 46 home games.

Betting Trends:

  • The Pelicans are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Warriors are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, New Orleans has 3 overs and 2 unders, while Golden State has 3 unders and 2 overs.
  • During their last five games, the Pelicans have scored an average of 111.8 points per game (0.2 above their season average) and allowed an average of 117.0 points per game (6.6 above their season average).
  • The Warriors’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 8.4, up from 6.2 for the season.