NCAA Football Free Preview: Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

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The Texas A&M Aggies (+20) are heading neutral to face the Arkansas Razorbacks at AT&T Stadium. This conference game starts at 12:00 p.m. ET and fans can catch the action by tuning in to ESPN. When these two schools met last year, Texas A&M knocked off Arkansas by a touchdown 50-43.

Betting Preview: Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks

In this Saturday Southeastern game, Arkansas has been projected as the heavy favorite and the team’s currently giving up 20 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline bettors would currently have to put up $1,800 to win $100 back on the Razorbacks (-1800). The Aggies are getting +900 moneyline odds. If one squad catches a lucky break early on, it’ll likely result in a nice betting scenario in-game.

The line opened at -17 but the general public has been siding with the Razorbacks.

The disappointing Aggies are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 9.6 units so far in 2018. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 0-3.

The Razorbacks are down 1.0 unit for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 4-0 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-1.

The Aggies have gone 2-2 straight up (SU), including 0-1 SU against conference opponents. The Razorbacks are 1-3 SU overall and are also 0-1 SU in conference play.

The Aggies will attempt to bounce back after a 45-23 defeat to Alabama last week. The passing game could’ve been more effective as the Aggies completed 23-of-44 passes for 263 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions. Kellen Mond went 16-for-33 for 196 yards, one touchdown and two interceptions while Nick Starkel completed seven-of-11 for 67 yards. Mond (98 rushing yards on 18 attempts, one TD) also led the running attack. Quartney Davis (five receptions, 59 yards) and Camron Buckley (four catches, 41 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

One week ago, Auburn got the win against this Arkansas team by a score of 34-3. The Razorbacks allowed the Tigers to pass for 134 yards and rush for 91 more. Anthony Schwartz had a solid showing in the win, posting 59 yards on three catches for Auburn. For Arkansas, Ty Storey completed 13-of-31 passes for 141 yards and one interception. Storey (44 rushing yards on 12 attempts) and Rakeem Boyd (66 yards on eight carries) spearheaded the running game as Boyd (two receptions, 39 yards) and Jared Cornelius (two catches, 15 yards) led the Arkansas pass-catchers in the loss.

Texas A&M’s run the ball on 53.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Arkansas has an overall rush percentage of 55.6 percent. The Aggies have run for 246.3 yards/game and have 10 scores on the ground this year. The Razorbacks are putting up 163.5 rush yards per game and have five total rushing TDs.

The Aggies offense has averaged 299.3 yards through the air overall and has eight passing scores so far. The Razorbacks have recorded 210.5 pass yards per outing and have six total pass TDs.

On the defensive side of the ball, Texas A&M has allowed 87.0 rush yards and 292.0 pass yards per game. The Arkansas D has given up 258.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 88.3 yards per game on the ground. The Razorbacks are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.30 to opposing QBs, while the Aggies have allowed a whopping 9.86 ANY/A.

Offensively, Mond is up to 810 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 57 percent of his 98 attempts with six scores through the air and two interceptions. He’s got a 7.08 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 4.94 over the last two outings.

Look for a balanced approach offensively from Texas A&M in this one. As a group, Kellen Mond, Trayveon Williams and Quartney Davis have combined for 453 yards from scrimmage and four touchdowns over the last two outings.

For the home team, Cole Kelley has connected on 15-of-21 passes for 194 yards, three TDs and zero INTs. Kelley’s ANY/A stands at for the season and 0.14 over his past two games.

We’re expecting the Razorbacks to control tempo by pounding the defense with their running backs. Along with WR Michael Woods (13 receiving yards this season), Rakeem Boyd (145 rush yards, 47 receiving yards) and Maleek Williams (17 rush yards) have brought significant production to the Arkansas offense.

Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Betting Pick

SU Winner: Arkansas, ATS Winner: Arkansas

Betting Trends

  • As a team, Texas A&M has produced 4.59047619047619 yards per carry over its past three outings and 5.6 over its last two.
  • Arkansas has averaged 4.7 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.9 over its last two.
  • Arkansas has lost one fumble this season while Texas A&M has lost three.
  • The Aggies offense has tallied one pass play of 40 yards or more, while the Razorbacks have accounted for five such plays.
  • The Texas A&M defense has allowed 10 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Arkansas has given up three such plays.
  • The Texas A&M offense has created eight rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Arkansas has created three such runs.
  • The Aggies defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Razorbacks have given up two such runs.
  • The Arkansas defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks nine times this year. Texas A&M has produced five sacks.