NCAA Football Free Preview – Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Ole Miss Rebels

Jose VasquezArticles, College Football, Football

The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks and Ole Miss Rebels will face off on the grass at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium at Hollingsworth Field. SEC Network has the TV rights and the game’s scheduled to get underway at 4:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Ole Miss Rebels

Ole Miss has been tabbed as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 23 points to Louisiana-Monroe. There should be some good in-game betting possibilities for this matchup, and Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) pretty highly at 74.5 points.

The O/U has yet to move after it was initially posted at 74.5. Having said that, the line opened at -21 so has recently moved down to -23.

The Warhawks are 1-4 against the spread (ATS) and are down 1.4 units this season. They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 1-3.

The Rebels have gained 0.0 units for moneyline bettors so far. They’re 2-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 3-2.

The Warhawks have gone 2-3 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Rebels are 3-2 SU.

The Warhawks will attempt to get back in stride after a 46-14 loss to Georgia State last week. The passing attack left much to be desired as Caleb Evans completed 19-of-32 passes for only 136 yards and two interceptions. Evans (39 rushing yards on six attempts, two TDs) also led the ground attack in the loss. Sloan Spiller (three receptions, 18 yards) and Gore (three catches, zero yards) shared the receiving duties.

Back on September 29, LSU took care of this Ole Miss team by a score of 45-16. The Rebels defensive unit allowed the Tigers to rush for 281 yards on 50 attempts, including three rush TDs. Justin Jefferson had a solid showing for LSU, recording 19 rushing yards on one attempt, along with 99 yards and two touchdowns on five catches. For Ole Miss, Jordan Ta’amu completed 19-of-38 passes for 178 yards and one interception. Scottie Phillips (96 yards on 16 rush attempts, one TD) led the ground game in the defeat as A.J. Brown (nine receptions, 72 yards) and D.K. Metcalf (three catches, 37 yards) led the pass-catching corps.

Louisiana-Monroe has run the ball on 45.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Ole Miss has an overall rush percentage of 50.0 percent. The Warhawks have run for 159.0 yards per game and have six scores via handoffs this year. The Rebels are putting up 170.2 rush yards per game and have 10 total rushing TDs.

The Warhawks offensive scheme has logged 238.6 yards/contest in the air overall and has seven passing scores so far. The Rebels have produced 313.6 pass yards per game and have 10 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Louisiana-Monroe has let opponents rush for an average of 171.8 yards and pass for 300.0 yards per game. The Ole Miss defense has allowed 310.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 208.8 yards per game on the ground. The Rebels are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of 7.50 to opposing QBs, while the Warhawks have given up an 8.34 ANY/A.

Ta’amu likely has the advantage over Evans in this one. The Rebels man under center has an adjusted net yards per pass attempt 8.10 for the season and 7.06 across his last two games while Evans’ ANY/A is 5.18 and 3.64 over the past two outings.

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks vs. Ole Miss Rebels NCAA Tip

SU Winner: Ole Miss, ATS Winner: Louisiana-Monroe, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • Louisiana-Monroe, as a team, has averaged 5.03529411764706 yards per carry over its last three games and 5.8 over its last two.
  • Ole Miss has averaged 4.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.3 over its last two.
  • The Ole Miss offense has lost two fumbles this season while Louisiana-Monroe has lost four.
  • The Warhawks offense has produced four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Rebels have put up 12 such plays.
  • The Louisiana-Monroe defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Ole Miss has given up five such plays.
  • The Louisiana-Monroe offense has created five rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Ole Miss has created 10 such runs.
  • The Warhawks defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Rebels have given up six such runs.
  • The Louisiana-Monroe defense has 14 sacks on the year while Ole Miss has 10.