NCAA Football Free Betting Matchup – Baylor Bears at Oklahoma Sooners

Jose VasquezArticles, College Football, Football

The No. 6 Sooners of Oklahoma (-24) are set to welcome their in-conference nemesis Baylor Bears to Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. This crucial daytime game is scheduled to get underway at 3:30 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to ABC.,

Betting Preview: Baylor Bears at Oklahoma Sooners

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Oklahoma is the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 24 points to Baylor. This Big 12 matchup is currently a toss-up, and Vegas hasn’t decided what the game’s over/under (O/U) will be yet.,

The game’s line opened at -21, but it’s moved since then.,

The Bears have gained 0.7 units so far and are 2-2 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an Over-Under mark of 2-1.,

The Sooners have gained 2.0 units this season. The team is 1-3 ATS and the over has hit in three of its games.,

The Bears have gone 3-1 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Sooners are 4-0 SU overall and are also 1-0 SU in conference play.,

The Bears are coming off a resounding 26-7 victory over Kansas last week. The Bears defense allowed the Jayhawks to run for 122 yards on 28 rush attempts. On the offensive side, Charlie Brewer completed 19 passes on 27 attempts for 221 yards and three touchdowns. Brewer (57 rushing yards on 12 attempts) also led the ground attack. Josh Fleeks (five receptions, 65 yards, one TD) and Jalen Hurd (four catches, 60 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.,

Oklahoma is coming off of a 28-21 win over Army West Point. Kyler Murray completed 11-of-15 passes for 165 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Trey Sermon (119 yards on 18 rush attempts) and the signal-caller Murray (71 yards on seven carries, one TD) led the running game as CeeDee Lamb (four receptions, 22 yards, two TDs) and Grant Calcaterra (two catches, 47 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.,

Baylor has run the ball on 49.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oklahoma has an overall rush percentage of 57.5 percent. The Bears have produced 176.5 rush yards per game and have eight scores on the ground this year. The Sooners are putting up 214.0 rush yards per game and have 11 total rushing TDs.,

It seems like the Sooners could hold an edge in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has generated 6.2 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 3.5 to opponents. The Bears have rushed for 5.1 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 5.3 to opponents.,

The Bears offense has logged 310.3 yards/contest in the air overall and has nine passing scores so far. The Sooners have produced 288.3 pass yards per outing and have 12 total pass TDs.,

Baylor seems to have an edge when it comes to limiting the pass. The team’s allowed opponents to rush for an average of 166.3 yards and pass for 181.5 yards per game. The Oklahoma defense has allowed 211.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 171.8 yards per game on the ground. The Bears are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.17 to opposing QBs, while the Sooners have given up a 5.98 ANY/A.,

Passing-wise, Brewer is up to 687 yards this year, and has completed 66 percent of his 76 attempts with six scores through the air and only one interception. Brewer’s got a 9.24 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 7.71 over the past two outings.,

We expect Brewer to attack all areas of the Oklahoma secondary. Jalen Hurd (36 receiving yards and two touchdowns), Tyquan Thornton (72 yards, one TD) and Charlie Brewer (36 yards) have all been heavily involved recently.,

For the home team, Kyler Murray has completed 39-of-59 passes for 680 yards, eight TDs and two INTs. Murray’s ANY/A sits at 12.05 for the year and 12.39 over his past two games.,

We expect the Oklahoma offense to mix it up in this one. Trey Sermon, Marquise Brown and Kyler Murray have combined for 534 total yards and three touchdowns as a trio over the last two outings.,

When these two squads met a year ago, Oklahoma emerged victorious by a score of 49-41.,

Baylor Bears vs. Oklahoma Sooners Betting Prediction

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SU Winner: Oklahoma, ATS Winner: Baylor

Team Betting Trends

  • The Oklahoma defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks nine times this year. Baylor has produced eight sacks.,
  • The Oklahoma offense has lost one fumble this season while the Baylor offense has lost two.,
  • The Bears offense has registered two pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Sooners have accounted for six such plays.,
  • The Baylor defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Oklahoma has given up four such plays.,
  • The Baylor offense has created four rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Oklahoma has created eight such runs.,
  • The Bears defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Sooners have given up two such runs.,
  • Oklahoma was favored by 29 points in its last match and the Over/Under was set at 60. The under cashed and Oklahoma failed to cover in the team’s 28-21 triumph over Army West Point.,
  • In its last three games, Oklahoma is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.,
  • In its last three contests, Baylor is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.,
  • Baylor was favored by 8 points in its previous game and the O/U going into it was 54.5. The under cashed and Baylor covered in the 26-7 victory over Kansas.,
  • Baylor, as a team, has averaged 4.02941176470588 yards per rush attempt across its last three games and 4.5 over its last two.,
  • Oklahoma has averaged 5.5 yards per carry over its last three contests and 5.6 over its past two.