Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs Free Prediction

Jose VasquezArticles, Hockey, NHL

Two clubs that are squaring off for the fourth and final time this season, the Montreal Canadiens and the Toronto Maple Leafs take the ice at Air Canada Centre for an Original Six matchup. The action will get started at 7 p.m. ET on Saturday, April 7, and you can see the game live on CBC Sports.

Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

Montreal (+180) is playing the role of underdog to Toronto (-220) and the oddsmakers have set the Over/Under (O/U) at 6 goals (-115 for the over, -105 for the under).

Earning moneyline bettors 5.5 units, Toronto is 48-33 straight up (SU) overall thus far. That winning percentage, the third-best in the Atlantic Division so far this season, is a welcome improvement compared to how the team performed during last years regular season (40-42). Of the teams 81 games this season, 42 have gone over the total, while 35 have gone under and just four have pushed. This season, the teams 28-12 SU at home.

The Maple Leafs currently have the second-strongest power-play unit in the NHL, as the team has converted on 24.5 percent of their extra-man opportunities this season. On the other hand, their penalty kill is rated 11th overall, and they’ve successfully killed off 81.5 percent of all penalties.

The Maple Leafs, as a collective unit, have been called for penalties just 3.2 times per game overall this season, and 2.4 per game over their last five home outings. The teams had to kill penalties for just 5.9 minutes per game over their last 10 outings, in total.

Averaging 30.7 saves per game with a .917 save percentage, Frederik Andersen (39-26-5) has been the primary goalkeeper for Toronto this year. If Toronto decides to give him a rest, however, it may roll with Curtis McElhinney (11-7-7 record, .934 save percentage, 2.14 goals against average).

The Leafs will continue to rely on leadership from Mitchell Marner and Auston Matthews. Marner (69 points) has tallied 22 goals and 47 assists and has recorded two or more points on 18 different occasions this year. Matthews has 33 goals and 28 assists to his credit and has notched at least one point in 40 games.

On the other side of the ice, Montreal is 29-52 straight up (SU) and has lost 25.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline thus far. Through 81 regular season matches, 42 of its games have gone under the total, while 37 have gone over and just two have pushed. As the visiting team, the Canadiens are 11-29 SU.

The Canadiens have converted on 21.3 percent of their power play opportunities this season, a figure that’s right around league average. On the other hand, its penalty kill unit is ranked 30th overall and it’s successfully defended 74.4 percent of all opponent power plays.

Montreal’s skaters have been penalized 3.8 times per game this season, 4.2 per game over their past five contests total, and 3.6 per game over their last five games as the visiting team. The team has been forced to defend opponent power plays just 7.8 minutes per contest over their last five road games.

Carey Price (.901 save percentage and 3.09 goals against average) has been the primary option in goal for Montreal. Price is averaging 27.4 saves per game and owns a 16-32-7 record.

Brendan Gallagher (31 goals, 22 assists) and Alex Galchenyuk (19 goals, 32 assists) are the top point-getters for Montreal and will pace the attack for the visiting Canadiens.

Montreal Canadiens at Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Predictions

Free NHL Tip: SU Winner – Maple Leafs, O/U – Under

Betting Notes

  • Montreal is 2-6 in games decided by a shootout this season while Toronto is 7-2 in shootouts.
  • The total has gone over in three of Toronto’s last five outings.
  • Montreal has managed 28.2 shot attempts per game over its last five road games while Toronto has been attempting 34.0 shots per game over its last five at home.
  • Over Montreal’s last ten games, seven of them have been decided by two or more goals (the team is 2-5 in those games).
  • Montreal skaters have given out the leagues second-most hits per game (26.6).