Missouri Tigers at Vanderbilt Commodores ATS Odds

The Missouri Tigers (18-11, 8-8 SEC) will travel to Memorial Gym to meet the Vanderbilt Commodores (11-18, 5-11 SEC) in their home finale. Neither team is favored and the Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 142.5 points. Action starts at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday, February 27, 2018.

Missouri Tigers at Vanderbilt Commodores Odds Preview

In the Tigers’ last game, they lost big to the Kentucky Wildcats, 87-66. With 26 points on 7-for-15 shooting, Kassius Robertson was the game’s high scorer. Kentucky did an excellent job of converting from the free throw line (21-28; 75.0 percent). Missouri, on the other hand, had a better offensive rebounding percentage (34.1 vs. 33.3).

The Commodores are hoping for a better outcome after their 89-81 loss to the Texas A&M Aggies in their last outing. With 19 points, nine rebounds and nine assists, Saben Lee played well for Vanderbilt. Texas A&M had a free throw rate of 0.412 (above their season average of 0.207). Vanderbilt, meanwhile, held the Aggies to an offensive rebounding percentage of 25.0 (below their season average of 34.4).

Half-court execution will be of utmost importance when a pair of the nation’s slowest-paced teams clash. Vanderbilt currently ranks 308th in possessions per game (66.4) and Missouri is 290th (67.2). Additionally, the Tigers, who rank 36th in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.286), will battle against the Commodores, who rank 270th in opponents’ FTA rate (0.267).

Of Missouri’s 27 games with betting action, 15 have finished under the projected point total, while 14 of Vanderbilt’s 26 games have finished over the projected point total. The Tigers come into this game with much better straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) records. They are 18-11 SU and 14-14 ATS, while the Commodores are 11-18 SU and 7-19 ATS.

Robertson has taken his game to another level over the last five games for Missouri, averaging 19.0 points, 3.4 assists and 1.4 steals per game.

This is the first time these teams will clash this year, after the Tigers won the sole game last season, 72-52. The Tigers played a perfect game. They had a fantastic offensive rebounding percentage of 45.7 and a superb free throw rate of 0.304. For those same stats, the Commodores had marks of 18.2 and 0.235, respectively.

Missouri Tigers vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Betting Prediction

Free Prediction: SU Winner – Missouri, ATS Winner – Missouri, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Tigers rank 31st in assists allowed per game (11.2) while the Commodores rank 62nd (12.0).
  • Missouri ranks 79th in rebounds per game (37.2) while Vanderbilt ranks 83rd in rebounds allowed per game (33.3).
  • Missouri is 7-7 ATS on the road with 8 unders and 6 overs.
  • Vanderbilt is 4-10 ATS at home with 9 overs and 5 unders.
  • Vanderbilt ranks 15th in steals allowed per game (4.9) while Missouri ranks 166th (6.7).
  • The Tigers average 4.4 blocks per game, which ranks 43rd in the NCAA. The Commodores rank 169th in blocks allowed per game (4.0).
  • Vanderbilt ranks 14th in three pointers allowed per game (17.5) while Missouri ranks 131st (21.4).

Bettings Trends:

  • Vanderbilt is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders in their last five games.
  • Over their last five games, Missouri is 1-4 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
  • The Commodores’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 6.4, up from 1.4 for the season.
  • During their last five games, the Tigers have scored an average of 73.4 points per game (0.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 76.8 points per game (8.4 above their season average).