Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Toronto Blue Jays are playing host to the Minnesota Twins at Rogers Centre. This AL matchup will begin at 4:07 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Fox Sports North to catch the game.

Minnesota Twins at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Minnesota (+110) is entering this one as the underdog against Toronto (-120) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the games total sit at -125 for the over and +105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds sitting at -190 for the Twins +1.5 runs and +165 for the Blue Jays -1.5.

The Twins have gone 46-53 SU this year and are 54-44 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.7 units for moneyline gamblers, despite having gained 7.3 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 46-54 SU and 45-54 ATS. They’ve lost 6.3 units for moneyline bettors and 14.3 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Toronto games have an over/under record of 47-44-8 in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 48-47-3.

Ervin Santana will get the start for Minnesota. The right-handed Santana has yet to pitch in the majors this year.

The Blue Jays are going with righty Sam Gaviglio (2-3, 4.59 ERA), who has 61 punchouts and 19 walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.28. Gaviglio made two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-0 record in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record with a 4.35 ERA and eight strikeouts.

As a unit, Toronto’s pitchers have yielded 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.84 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.09 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

The Toronto hitters have put up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The teams hit .259/.320/.434 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Third baseman Yangervis Solarte and right fielder Kevin Pillar have paced the Blue Jays offense this year. Solarte is hitting .240/.294/.424 with 17 home runs, 52 RBIs and 45 runs scored, and Pillar is batting .247 with eight homers, 37 RBIs, 42 runs and 11 steals.

For the visiting squad, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.33 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.68 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.70, along with a WHIP of 1.34.

Twins hitters have slashed .244/.317/.405 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 6.4 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Minnesota’s offensive production has been sparked by left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar, who’ve collectively blasted 34 home runs. Rosario is slashing .307/.348/.521 with 19 home runs, 62 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Escobar is slashing .278/.338/.522 with 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 5.8 units and are 38-33 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 37 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Blue Jays have netted 8.4 units and are 30-33 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in 32 of those games, compared to 27 that’ve gone under.

Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Minnesota has recorded 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Toronto has 16 XBH over its last five.
  • The Twins have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 14 over their last 10.
  • Minnesota fielders have five errors over the last 10 games, compared to 13 errors for Toronto over its last 10.