Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Minnesota Twins are heading east to Yankee Stadium to play the New York Yankees. This AL matchup is going to be televised nationally on ESPN and the game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees Odds

Minnesota (+182) is hosting this one as the underdog against New York (-195) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at nine runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for the under and -110 for the over. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at -120 for taking the Twins +1.5 runs and +100 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Twins have gone 8-8 SU this year and are 11-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 1.6 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season and 6.3 units ATS. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 11-9 SU and 9-10 ATS. The team has lost 4.8 units for moneyline bettors and 3.4 units ATS.

Yankees games have an over/under record of 13-5-1 so far in 2018. The Twins have an over/under record of 6-9.

Jake Odorizzi will get the start for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Odorizzi is 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face New York this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 0-2 record with a 4.66 ERA and nine strikeouts.

The Yankees are handing the ball to righty Masahiro Tanaka (2-2, 6.45 ERA), who has 23 punchouts and four walks, as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Tanaka did not record a start against the Twins in 2017.

Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.57 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.07 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.70, along with a K-per-9 of 9.54.

Twins hitters have slashed .235/.310/.396 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).

Second baseman Brian Dozier and right fielder Max Kepler have led Minnesota’s offense. Dozier is slashing .310/.372/.535 with 22 hits, nine RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Kepler (.288/.383/.596) has produced 15 hits, four homers, seven RBIs and six runs scored.

In the other dugout, New York’s pitchers have yielded 5.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 4.49, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.4. The bullpen has a 4.07 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 13.2 K/9.

The New York hitters are putting up 5.7 runs per outing, including 5.8 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .256/.346/.444 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Yankees’ offense has been led by shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge. Gregorius is hitting .333/.442/.742 with six home runs, 20 RBIs and 17 runs scored, while Judge’s line sits at .324/.462/.608 with six homers, 15 RBIs and 18 runs scored.

Judge enjoyed hitting against righties at home last season, slashing .318/.424/.771 across 257 such plate appearances (compared to his overall season line of .284/.422/.627).

The Twins have gained 0.0 units and are 9-3 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to seven that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 4.7 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in eight of those games, compared to four that’ve cashed the under.

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in four of Minnesota’s last seven games.
  • The Twins have lost four of their last five games SU.
  • New York has recorded 24.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.2 over its last five.
  • The Twins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.