Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Detroit Tigers are set to host their AL Central foe Minnesota Twins at Comerica Park. The matchup will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports North.

Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Odds

The Tigers are 78-70 against the spread (ATS), but just 61-88 straight up (SU). They’ve lost 5.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.3 units (ATS). Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Twins have gone 68-81 SU this year and are 74-74 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 15.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.2 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Detroit games have an over/under record of 63-77-8 in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 73-72-3.

Gabriel Moya will get the start for the Twinkies. The left-handed Moya is 3-1 with a 4.88 ERA and 28 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with four strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Detroit this year.

The Tigers are handing the ball to righty Jordan Zimmermann (7-7, 4.17 ERA), who has 100 strikeouts and 20 walks to his name, as well as a 1.22 WHIP. Zimmermann is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.

Detroit’s pitchers have given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.49, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.48 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. In 66 divisional games, Tigers starters have an ERA of 4.48 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.66.

Detroit’s hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .220/.288/.375 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Tigers’ offense has been led by outfielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario. Castellanos is slashing .292/.350/.487 with 21 home runs, 81 RBIs and 78 runs scored, while Candelario is hitting .231 with 19 homers, 53 RBIs and 74 runs.

For the visitors, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.61 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.25 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.75, along with a WHIP of 1.40.

Twins hitters have slashed .247/.317/.403 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Left fielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer continue to lead Minnesota’s offense. Rosario is hitting .288/.323/.475 with 23 home runs, 76 RBIs and 86 runs scored, while Mauer (.275/.346/.378) is up to six homers, 44 RBIs and 52 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 7.0 units and are 54-52 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over’s hit in 54 of those games, compared to 50 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.

Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in three of Detroit’s last seven games.
  • The Twins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
  • Minnesota has posted 24.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.0 over its last five.