Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Cleveland Indians are squaring off against the Minnesota Twins at Progressive Field. SportsTime Ohio will broadcast the matchup and the game will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Cleveland (-210) is favored over Minnesota (+190) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (+100 for the over and -120 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -115 for the Twins +1.5 runs and -105 for the Indians -1.5 runs.

The Indians are 61-49 straight up (SU) and 53-57 against the spread (ATS). The team’s lost 14.9 units for moneyline bettors and 10.2 units (ATS). Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Twins have gone 52-58 SU this year and are 61-49 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 8.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have gained 9.4 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Cleveland games have a 56-50-4 over/under record in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 53-54-3.

Adalberto Mejia will get the start for the visiting Twins. The left-handed Mejia is 1-0 with a 2.60 ERA and 10 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cleveland this year.

The Indians will be sending righty Carlos Carrasco (13-5, 3.66 ERA) to the hill. Carrasco has 138 strikeouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a 1.13 WHIP. Carrasco is 1-2 with 21 strikeouts and a 4.66 ERA across four starts against Minnesota this year.

As a unit, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.02 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 47 games against divisional foes, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.91.

The Cleveland offense has put up 5.1 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .239/.335/.352 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez have led the charge for the Indians’ offense this year. Lindor is slashing .293/.374/.561 with 27 home runs, 67 RBIs, 95 runs and 16 stolen bases, and Ramirez is batting .300 with 33 homers, 82 RBIs, 78 runs and 26 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.32 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.51 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.64, along with a K/9 of 9.49.

Twins hitters have slashed .245/.318/.402 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar have led Minnesota’s hitters. Rosario is slashing .295/.336/.498 with 20 home runs, 66 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Escobar (.274/.338/.514) has produced 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 5.7 units and are 42-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 41 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have netted 3.0 units and are 16-13 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 13 that went under the total.

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in three of Minnesota’s last seven games.
  • The Twins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
  • Minnesota has posted 19 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22 over its last five.
  • The Indians have won four of their last five games SU.