Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Minnesota Twins are ready to face off against the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. Fox Sports North will televise this AL matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 4:07 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels Odds

Los Angeles (-160) is favored over Minnesota (+150) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -145 for the Twins +1.5 runs and +125 for the Angels -1.5.

The Angels are 23-16 SU and 21-17 ATS. They’ve gained 7.3 units for moneyline bettors and 4.7 units against the spread (ATS). Los Angeles has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Twins are 17-18 SU and have gone 20-14 ATS. In total, the teams lost 1.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline through the early portions of the year, but have gained 3.0 units ATS. Minnesota’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Los Angeles games have a 21-17 over/under record so far in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 19-14-1.

Fernando Romero will get the start for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Romero is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 14 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Angels this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Angels will put the ball in the right hand of Shohei Ohtani (3-1, 4.10 ERA), who’s got 32 punchouts and 11 walks as well as a 1.18 WHIP. Ohtani did not pitch in the majors last season.

As a unit, Los Angeles pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starters have an ERA of 4.17, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.68 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

The Los Angeles offense is putting up 5.1 runs per outing, including 6.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .264/.358/.461 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Angels hitters have been led by right fielder Mike Trout and shortstop Andrelton Simmons. Trout is slashing .317/.453/.655 with 12 home runs, 25 RBIs, 33 runs and eight stolen bases, and Simmons has produced a line of .345/.409/.511 with three homers, 23 RBIs and 25 runs.

Trout especially enjoyed hitting against right-handed pitching at home in 2017. Across 203 such plate appearances, he slashed .352/.468/.753 (compared to his overall season line of .306/.442/.629).

For the visitors, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.45 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.85 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.93, along with a WHIP of 1.36.

Twins hitters have slashed .245/.320/.418 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 5.5 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the teams last five outings (4-1 SU).

Shortstop Eduardo Escobar and left fielder Eddie Rosario have led Minnesota’s offense. Escobar is slashing .291/.348/.583 with seven home runs, 20 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Rosario (.295/.319/.576) has produced nine homers, 27 RBIs, 26 runs and five stolen bases.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .290/.328/.507, Rosario didn’t do especially well against righty pitching on the road last year, maintaining a slash line of .235/.282/.380 across 195 such plate appearances.

The Twins have lost 3.8 units and are 15-12 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 15 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Angels have netted 6.8 units and are 17-12 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in 17 of those games, compared to 12 that went under.

Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Angels, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Twins have won seven of their last eight games SU.
  • Minnesota has recorded 23.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.6 over its last five.
  • The Twins have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Angels have hit 17 over their last 10.