Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners Free Pick

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The Seattle Mariners will play host to the Minnesota Twins at T-Mobile Park. Fox Sports North will televise this AL showdown and the game gets underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Minnesota (-140) is favored over Seattle (+130) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total now sit at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +105 for picking the Twins -1.5 runs and -125 for the Mariners +1.5.

The Mariners are 22-25 straight up (SU) and 25-21 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 0.3 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.1 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total went over in five of those seven. The Twins have gone 29-15 SU this year and are 23-20 against the spread. Overall, the team’s accumulated 12.9 units for gamblers taking the moneyline over the early part of the year and 2.4 units ATS. Minnesota’s covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.

Mariners games have an over/under record of 32-11-3 so far in 2019. The Twins have an over/under record of 22-20-1.

Right-hander Jose Berrios is the projected starter for the visiting Twinkies. Berrios is 6-2 with a 3.05 ERA and 54 strikeouts. He has yet to face Seattle this year, but he did make two starts against the team in 2018, putting together a 0-2 record with a 5.25 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

The Mariners are putting the ball in the left hand of Wade LeBlanc (2-0, 4.50 ERA), who has 12 strikeouts and five walks this season as well as a 1.63 WHIP. LeBlanc made two starts against the team in 2018, compiling a 0-0 record in 2018, putting together a 0-0 record with a 1.50 ERA and eight strikeouts.

Seattle’s pitchers have given up 5.7 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.71 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.23 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.

Seattle’s hitters have put up 5.3 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .193/.274/.422 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Mariners’ hitters have been led by left fielder Domingo Santana and second baseman Dee Gordon. Santana is slashing .269/.340/.473 with eight home runs, 37 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Gordon is hitting .301 with three homers, 19 RBIs, 16 runs and 12 steals.

In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.60 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 8.12 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.23, along with a WHIP of 1.17 and a K-per-9 of 9.34.

Twins hitters have slashed .266/.336/.499 on their way to 5.5 runs scored per game this year, including 6.3 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Minnesota’s offense has been fueled by shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario, who collectively have launched 21 home runs. Polanco is slashing .331/.398/.608 with eight home runs, 20 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .258/.293/.534 with 13 homers, 34 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 3.0 units and are 2-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 3.1 units and are 20-14 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 22 of those games, compared to nine that went under the total.

Twins at Mariners Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in three of Minnesota’s last seven games.
  • The Twins have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 17 over their last 10.
  • The Twins have an OPS of .835 this season and an OPS of .852 against left-handed pitchers. The Mariners’ OPS sits at .784 overall and .755 against southpaws.
  • Minnesota has posted 27.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.8 over its last five.