Minnesota Twins at Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Minnesota Twins will head west to T-Mobile Park to face the Seattle Mariners. Fox Sports North will be televising this AL matchup and the game is slated to get underway at 10:10 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Seattle (+100) is heading into this one as an underdog against Minnesota (-110) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at Twins -1.5 runs (+135) and Mariners +1.5 runs (-155).

The Twins have gone 27-15 SU this year and are 22-19 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 10.9 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 2.0 units ATS. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 22-23 SU and 25-20 ATS. They’ve gained 1.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 0.5 units ATS.

Mariners games have had an over/under record of 31-11-3 so far in 2019. Minnesota has an over/under record of 20-20-1.

Michael Pineda is getting the nod for Minnesota. The right-handed Pineda is 2-3 with a 5.85 ERA and 35 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Mariners will turn to righty Erik Swanson (1-4, 6.35 ERA), who’s got 21 strikeouts and five walks, along with a WHIP of 1.27. Swanson did not record any MLB appearances last season.

Seattle’s pitchers have yielded 5.6 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.39 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.39 ERA, 1.60 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.

The Seattle hitters are putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .195/.263/.402 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Outfielder Domingo Santana and second baseman Dee Gordon have led the Mariners’ offense so far. Santana is slashing .280/.349/.491 with eight home runs, 37 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Gordon’s line is .304/.336/.406 with three homers, 19 RBIs, 15 runs and 11 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.65 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 8.09 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.16, along with a WHIP of 1.18.

The Twins offense has slashed .262/.334/.495 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Minnesota’s offense has been powered by shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario, who collectively have swatted 21 home runs. Polanco is hitting .331/.398/.624 with eight home runs, 19 RBIs and 25 runs scored, while Rosario is slashing .247/.284/.532 with 13 homers, 34 RBIs and 27 runs scored.

The Twins have gained 13.9 units and are 20-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 16 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 4.2 units and are 20-13 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 21 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under.

Twins at Mariners Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Mariners, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in just two of Seattle’s last seven games.
  • The Twins have an OPS of .830 this season and an OPS of .835 against right-handed pitchers. The Mariners’ OPS sits at .788 overall and .789 versus righties.
  • Seattle has recorded 20.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.4 over its last five.
  • The Twins have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 18 over their last 10.