Minnesota Twins at Oakland Athletics Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Minnesota Twins will face off against the Oakland Athletics at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum. This AL showdown will begin at 4:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to NBC Sports – California to catch the game.

Minnesota Twins vs. Oakland Athletics Odds

Oakland (-190) is hosting this one as the favorite against Minnesota (+180) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Runline odds sit at -125 for picking the Twins +1.5 runs and +105 for the Athletics -1.5.

The Athletics are 94-61 straight up (SU) and 82-72 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 36.5 units for moneyline bettors and 10.1 units (ATS). Oakland has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in six of those seven. The Twins have gone 71-83 SU this year and are 79-74 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 12.1 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 0.9 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Oakland games have an over/under record of 74-71-9 in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 76-74-3.

Kyle Gibson will get the start for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Gibson is 8-13 with a 3.78 ERA and 169 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Athletics this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and three strikeouts across four innings).

The Athletics will put the ball in the right hand of Trevor Cahill (6-3, 3.77 ERA, 1.21 WHIP), who has 93 strikeouts and 40 walks. Cahill is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 9.00 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.

Oakland’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.36 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

The Oakland hitters have produced 5.0 runs per contest, including 7.2 per game over its last 10 games and 9.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .309/.404/.503 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Athletics’ hitters have been led by shortstop Marcus Semien and second baseman Jed Lowrie. Semien is slashing .259/.323/.386 with 13 home runs, 64 RBIs, 86 runs and 14 steals, while Lowrie’s line is .267/.355/.446 with 21 homers, 94 RBIs and 75 runs scored.

For the visitors, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.60 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.24 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.58, along with a WHIP of 1.39.

The Twins offense has slashed .247/.317/.403 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Minnesota’s offense has been powered by left fielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer. Rosario is slashing .288/.323/.479 with 24 home runs, 77 RBIs and 87 runs scored. Mauer is hitting .274/.343/.373 with six homers, 46 RBIs and 54 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 4.9 units and are 58-52 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 57 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Athletics have netted 31.3 units and are 52-47 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 50 of those games, compared to 45 that went under the total.

Minnesota Twins vs. Oakland Athletics Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Athletics, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in five of Minnesota’s last seven games.
  • Minnesota has posted 25.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.8 over its last five.
  • The Twins have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Athletics have hit 14 over their last 10.