Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers Free Pick

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The Milwaukee Brewers are playing host to the Minnesota Twins at Miller Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 2:10 p.m. ET and this interleague matchup will be shown on YouT.

Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Minnesota (+105) is coming into this one as the underdog to Milwaukee (-115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total now stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Runline odds stand at -200 for betting the Twins +1.5 runs and +170 for the Brewers -1.5.

The Twins have gone 72-47 SU this year and are 63-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 13.7 units for moneyline bettors and 3.6 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 62-58 SU and 51-68 ATS. The team has lost 5.7 units for moneyline bettors and 22.9 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Brewers games have an over/under record of 53-62-4 in 2019. Twins games have gone over 60 times, gone under 53 times and pushed on five instances.

Kyle Gibson is getting the nod for the Twinkies. The right-handed Gibson is 11-5 with a 4.24 ERA and 126 strikeouts. He has yet to face Milwaukee this year, but he did make two starts against the Brewers in 2018, compiling a 0-1 record against them with a 6.97 ERA and eight strikeouts.

The Brewers are turning to Gio Gonzalez (2-1, 3.20 ERA). Gonzalez has 42 strikeouts and 16 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.16. Gonzalez is 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 7.71 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff has yielded 4.9 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.64, a WHIP of 1.38 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.60 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 10.0 K/9.

The Milwaukee offense has produced 4.8 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .244/.345/.405 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas have led the way for the Brewers’ offense this year. Yelich is slashing .333/.425/.699 with 39 home runs, 85 RBIs, 83 runs and 23 steals, and Moustakas is hitting .258 with 27 homers, 63 RBIs and 66 runs.

For the visiting squad, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.93 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.28 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.49, along with a WHIP of 1.24.

Twins hitters have slashed .270/.338/.497 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario have paced Minnesota’s hitters. Polanco is hitting .294/.356/.489 with 17 home runs, 56 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Rosario (.286/.310/.521) has produced 25 homers, 78 RBIs and 70 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 2.4 units and are 15-12 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 16 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 3.7 units and are 36-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, as opposed to 38 that’ve cashed the under.

Twins vs. Brewers Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
  • The Twins have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 11 over their last 10.
  • The Twins have a team OPS of .836 this season, including an OPS of .873 against left-handed pitchers. The Brewers’ OPS stands at .769 overall and .749 against southpaws.
  • Milwaukee has recorded 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.8 over its last five.