Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals Free Preview

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Kansas City Royals are playing host to their AL Central rival Minnesota Twins at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. Fox Sports Kansas City will televise the action and the opening pitch is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins at Kansas City Royals Odds

Kansas City (+170) is rolling into this one as an underdog against Minnesota (-180) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total now stand at -140 for the over and +120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -125 for the Twins -1.5 runs and +105 for the Royals +1.5.

The Twins are 48-25 SU and are 42-30 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 20.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 9.3 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Royals, on the other hand, are 25-49 SU and 35-38 ATS. The team has lost 15.5 units for moneyline bettors and 12.0 units ATS. Kansas City has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in three of those seven.

Kansas City games have an over/under record of 34-32-7 so far in 2019. Twins games have gone over 37 times, gone under 30 times and pushed on five instances.

Jake Odorizzi will get the nod for Minnesota. The right-handed Odorizzi is 10-2 with a 2.24 ERA and 85 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against Kansas City this year.

The Royals are handing the ball to righty Glenn Sparkman (1-3, 4.01 ERA), who’s got 24 punchouts and 11 walks, along with a WHIP of 1.31. Sparkman is 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.

Kansas City’s pitching staff has given up 5.1 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 5.21 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.75 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 29 games against AL Central foes, Royals starters have an ERA of 3.68 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.23.

Kansas City’s hitters are putting up 4.2 runs per outing, including 4.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .260/.309/.425 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Royals’ hitters have been led by second baseman Whit Merrifield and shortstop Adalberto Mondesi. Merrifield is slashing .301/.347/.502 with 10 home runs, 39 RBIs, 52 runs and 11 stolen bases, while Mondesi is batting .269 with six homers, 44 RBIs, 40 runs and 27 steals.

In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starters own a 3.58 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 8.42 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.58, along with a K/9 of 9.52.

Twins hitters have slashed .272/.342/.507 on their way to 5.8 runs scored per game this year, including 5.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Jorge Polanco and outfielder Eddie Rosario have paced Minnesota’s hitters. Polanco is slashing .326/.387/.543 with 10 home runs, 37 RBIs and 45 runs scored, while Rosario is hitting .269/.301/.519 with 19 homers, 53 RBIs and 48 runs scored.

The Twins have gained 17.4 units and are 31-25 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 28 of those games, compared to 25 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 14.4 units and are 24-28 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under.

Twins at Royals Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in three of Minnesota’s last seven games.
  • The Twins have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Royals have hit 10 over their last 10.
  • The Twins have an OPS of .849 this season and an OPS of .841 against right-handed pitchers. The Royals’ OPS sits at .713 overall and .730 against righties.
  • Kansas City has recorded 20.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 24.6 over its last five.