Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Minnesota Twins will be taking on their AL Central nemesis Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and SportsTime Ohio will be showing the action.

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Odds

Cleveland (-195) is hosting this one as the favorite over Minnesota (+182) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at -120 for the Twins +1.5 runs and +100 for the Indians -1.5.

The Indians are 62-49 straight up (SU) and 54-57 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.9 units for moneyline bettors and 9.2 units (ATS). Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. On the other hand, the Twins are 52-59 SU and have gone 61-50 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 9.0 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 8.3 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Cleveland games have an over/under record of 57-50-4 in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 54-54-3.

Jake Odorizzi will get the nod for the visiting Twins. The right-handed Odorizzi is 4-7 with a 4.60 ERA and 120 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with 14 strikeouts and a 9.88 ERA against Cleveland this year (three starts).

The Indians are sending righty Mike Clevinger (7-7, 3.48 ERA) to the mound. Clevinger has 139 strikeouts and 45 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.22. Clevinger is 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA in one start against Minnesota this year.

Cleveland’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The club’s starting pitching staff has a 3.40 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.97 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 48 games against AL Central foes, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.57 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.84.

Cleveland’s offense has produced 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .247/.352/.435 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Indians’ batters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez. Lindor is hitting .295/.376/.560 with 27 home runs, 67 RBIs, 96 runs and 17 steals, while Ramirez’s line is .300/.410/.629 with 33 homers, 83 RBIs, 78 runs and 26 stolen bases.

For the visitors, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.34 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.48 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.70, along with a WHIP of 1.35.

Twins hitters have slashed .244/.317/.400 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Minnesota’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is slashing .293/.334/.494 with 20 home runs, 66 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Escobar (.274/.338/.514) has produced 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 6.7 units and are 42-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 42 of those games, as opposed to 36 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 16.9 units and are 38-44 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 42 of those games, as opposed to 37 that’ve gone under.

Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in five of Cleveland’s last seven games.
  • The Indians have won five of their last six games SU.
  • Cleveland has recorded 22.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.8 over its last five.
  • The Twins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.