Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Minnesota Twins will head east to Progressive Field to face their AL Central nemesis Cleveland Indians. The matchup will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to SportsTime Ohio.

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Odds

Cleveland (-185) is favored against Minnesota (+175) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -110 for the under and -110 for the over. You can also bet on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Twins +1.5 runs (-125) and Indians -1.5 runs (+105).

The Twins are 51-58 SU and have gone 61-48 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline, despite having gained 10.4 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 60-49 SU and 53-56 ATS. The team has lost 15.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.9 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Cleveland games have an over/under record of 56-49-4 in 2018. Twins games have gone under 54 times, gone over 52 times and pushed on three occasions.

The right-handed Kyle Gibson is getting the nod for the visiting Twins. Gibson is 5-8 with a 3.47 ERA and 132 strikeouts. He’s 1-1 with 16 strikeouts and a 2.89 ERA against Cleveland this year (three starts).

The Indians will be sending righty Trevor Bauer (10-6, 2.34 ERA) to the mound. Bauer has 195 strikeouts and 53 walks to his name, as well as a 1.13 WHIP. Bauer is 1-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 3.75 ERA over two starts against Minnesota this year.

Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.30 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.53 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.65, along with a K/9 of 9.44.

Twins hitters have slashed .244/.317/.402 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Minnesota’s hitters have been paced by left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is hitting .298/.339/.502 with 20 home runs, 66 RBIs and 72 runs scored. Escobar (.274/.338/.514) is up to 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Cleveland’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.43, a WHIP of 1.15 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 5.05 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 47 divisional games, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.91.

The Cleveland offense is putting up 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .241/.333/.392 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez have paced the Indians’ batters this year. Lindor is hitting .291/.373/.559 with 27 home runs, 67 RBIs, 94 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Ramirez’s line sits at .300/.406/.624 with 32 homers, 79 RBIs, 77 runs and 26 steals.

The Twins have lost 5.7 units and are 42-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 18.9 units and are 37-43 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 41 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve gone under.

Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Both teams have tallied 14 extra-base hits over their last five games.
  • The Indians have won three of their last four games SU.
  • Minnesota has recorded 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.6 over its last five.
  • The Twins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.