Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Matchup

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Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers will be taking on their divisional rival St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium in a Tuesday night game. Fox Sports Midwest will be televising the action and the game will get going at 7:45 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals Odds

Bookmakers have placed identical -105 moneyline odds on each team. You can play matchup’s total with current odds posted at even money (+100) for over 10 runs and -120 for under 10. This game currently has a runline of Brewers -1.5 (+140) and Cardinals +1.5 (-160).

The Brewers are 64-61 SU and are 53-71 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.1 units for moneyline bettors and 23.9 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 66-57 SU and 63-59 ATS. They’ve lost 3.1 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 1.5 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

St. Louis games have an over/under record of 47-65-10 in 2019. The Brewers have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 57-63-4.

Left-hander Gio Gonzalez is the projected starter for the visiting Brewers. Gonzalez (2-1, 3.81 ERA) has recorded 47 punchouts in 54.1 innings so far. He has yet to face St. Louis this year, but he made two starts against the Cardinals in 2018, putting together a 0-1 record against them with a 9.00 ERA and four strikeouts.

The Cardinals will turn to righty Michael Wacha (6-6, 5.44 ERA), who has 75 strikeouts and 44 walks as well as a 1.63 WHIP. Wacha is 1-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA over two starts against Milwaukee this year.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.81 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.45 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.65, along with a WHIP of 1.39.

Brewers hitters have slashed .249/.331/.445 on their way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas continue to lead Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is slashing .334/.426/.697 with 41 home runs, 89 RBIs, 87 runs and 24 stolen bases. Moustakas has a .263 average with 30 homers, 71 RBIs and 70 runs scored.

For the home team, St. Louis’ pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.14, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.0. The bullpen has a 3.73 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.8 K/9. In 54 games against divisional opponents, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 4.32 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.05.

St. Louis’ hitters are putting up 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has hit .238/.312/.417 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Cardinals’ offense has been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and shortstop Paul DeJong. Goldschmidt is slashing .259/.335/.474 with 28 home runs, 68 RBIs and 74 runs scored, and DeJong’s line is .246/.323/.457 with 22 homers, 57 RBIs and 78 runs scored.

The Brewers have lost 2.6 units and are 37-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 44 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 3.5 units and are 10-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 11 of those games, as opposed to 10 which went under the total.

Brewers at Cardinals MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in four of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
  • The Brewers have lost three of their last four games SU.
  • Milwaukee has posted 25.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 29.2 over its last five.
  • The Brewers have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games, including 13 over their last five.
  • The Brewers have an OPS of .776 this season and an OPS of .783 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS sits at .722 overall and .718 against righties.