Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Milwaukee Brewers are ready to take on their division rival St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will broadcast the matchup and the game will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Milwaukee (+100) as the underdog to St. Louis (-110). The total sits at 8.5 runs and gamblers can wager on the over for -105 and the under for -115. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Brewers +1.5 runs (-210) and Cardinals -1.5 runs (+175).

The Brewers are 91-67 SU and are 82-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 17.5 units for moneyline bettors and 3.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Cardinals, on the other hand, are 87-71 SU and 82-75 ATS. They’ve gained 5.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.8 units ATS. St. Louis has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in all seven of them.

Cardinals games have a 76-75-6 over/under record in 2018. Milwaukee has an over/under record of 74-79-4.

Right-hander Jhoulys Chacin is getting the start for Milwaukee. Chacin is 14-8 with a 3.61 ERA and 150 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with 14 strikeouts and a 6.10 ERA against St. Louis this year (four starts).

The Cardinals will put the ball in the right hand of John Gant (7-6, 3.53 ERA), who’s got 93 punchouts and 54 walks as well as a 1.29 WHIP. Gant is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 3.24 ERA in one start against Milwaukee this year.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.94 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 7.72 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.54, along with a K/9 of 10.24.

The Brewers offense has slashed .251/.324/.423 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this year, including 4.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.8 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Milwaukee’s offense has been fueled by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who have combined to swat 43 home runs. Yelich is slashing .321/.390/.583 with 33 home runs, 104 RBIs, 110 runs and 21 stolen bases. Cain has a .311 average with 10 homers, 37 RBIs, 87 runs and 29 stolen bases.

For the home team, St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.36 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 72 games against NL Central opponents, Cardinals starters have an ERA of 3.54 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.64.

The St. Louis hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 4.7 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .275/.333/.439 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Left fielder Marcell Ozuna and first baseman Jose Martinez have led the Cardinals’ offense this year. Ozuna is hitting .280/.325/.436 with 23 home runs, 87 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Martinez’s line is .306/.364/.461 with 17 homers, 83 RBIs and 62 runs.

The Brewers have gained 17.8 units and are 63-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 51 of those games, compared to 62 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Cardinals have netted 2.5 units and are 58-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 48 of those games, compared to 58 which went under the total.

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in zero of St. Louis’ last seven games.
  • The Brewers have won five of their last six games SU.
  • The Milwaukee defense has allowed two errors over the last 10 games, compared to 15 errors for St. Louis over its last 10.
  • The Brewers have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.