Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres Betting Preview

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Milwaukee Brewers will do battle against the San Diego Padres in a Wednesday showdown. The opening pitch is scheduled for 3:40 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin is in line to televise this NL matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers at San Diego Padres Odds

For any bettors that want to play the moneyline, each team is currently receiving matching odds (-105) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this day game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Gamblers can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at +140 for the Brewers -1.5 runs and -160 for the Padres +1.5 runs.

The Padres are 37-37 straight up (SU) and 31-42 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 3.8 units for moneyline bettors and 16.9 units ATS. The Brewers have gone 40-33 SU this year and are 36-36 ATS. In total, the club has accumulated 4.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have lost 3.6 units ATS.

San Diego games have a 36-32-5 over/under record so far in 2019. Brewers games have gone under 38 times, gone over 31 times and pushed on three instances.

Zach Davies is getting the start for Milwaukee. The right-handed Davies is 7-1 with a 2.60 ERA and 50 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Padres are putting the ball in the left hand of Matt Strahm (2-6, 4.66 ERA), who’s got 60 punchouts and 15 walks this season as well as a 1.27 WHIP. Strahm did not register a start against the Brewers in 2018.

San Diego’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 4.32, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.83 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.

San Diego’s offense is putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 6.0 per game over its last 10 games and 8.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .325/.398/.558 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

First baseman Eric Hosmer and third baseman Manny Machado have led the Padres’ hitters this year. Hosmer is slashing .282/.337/.439 with 10 home runs, 48 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Machado’s line is .268/.348/.468 with 14 homers, 41 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

For the visitors, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.76 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.71 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.25, along with a K-per-9 of 10.13.

Brewers hitters have slashed .251/.333/.449 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Milwaukee’s hitters have been paced by right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas, who have combined to belt 47 home runs. Yelich is hitting .340/.438/.734 with 26 home runs, 57 RBIs, 56 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Moustakas (.279/.350/.581) is up to 21 homers, 45 RBIs and 46 runs scored.

The Brewers have lost 1.0 units and are 11-10 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in six of those games, compared to 14 that’ve hit the under against lefty starters. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 3.6 units and are 24-37 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 31 of those games, compared to 26 that went under the total.

Brewers at Padres Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – UNDER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in only two of San Diego’s last seven games.
  • The Brewers have a total OPS of .782 this season, including an OPS of .791 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Padres’ OPS sits at .727 overall and .753 against lefties.
  • The Brewers have lost four of their last five games SU.
  • Milwaukee has posted 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.6 over its last five.
  • The Brewers have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 12 over their last 10.