Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Free Preview

Jonathan GarosArticles, Uncategorized

The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing host to their divisional rival Milwaukee Brewers at PNC Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will broadcast the matchup and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Pittsburgh (+100) is the home-team underdog to Milwaukee (-110) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -110 for both the over and the under. Runline odds stand at +135 for betting the Brewers -1.5 runs and -155 for the Pirates +1.5.

The Pirates are 77-75 straight up (SU) and 73-78 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 4.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline while gaining 13.1 units (ATS). Pittsburgh has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven. The Brewers have gone 88-66 SU this year and are 79-74 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 15.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.1 units ATS. Milwaukee’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven.

Pirates games have an over/under record of 66-75-10 in 2018. Milwaukee has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 71-78-4.

Right-hander Zach Davies is the probable starter for the visiting Brewers. Davies is 2-6 with a 4.66 ERA and 43 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with three strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Pittsburgh this year.

The Pirates will send righty Trevor Williams (13-9, 3.16 ERA) to the mound. Williams has 115 strikeouts and 51 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.16. Williams is 2-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA over two starts against Milwaukee this year.

As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 3.97 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.16 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 67 games against NL Central opponents, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.42 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.85.

Pittsburgh’s hitters have put up 4.3 runs per contest, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .272/.324/.414 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Pirates’ batters have been led by outfielders Starling Marte and Corey Dickerson. Marte is hitting .276/.319/.450 with 19 home runs, 67 RBIs, 76 runs and 33 steals, while Dickerson is batting .296 with 12 homers, 53 RBIs and 62 runs.

In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.91 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.77 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.56, along with a K/9 of 10.20.

The Brewers offense has slashed .250/.322/.421 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain continue to lead Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is slashing .320/.387/.570 with 31 home runs, 93 RBIs, 106 runs and 20 stolen bases, while Cain is hitting .308/.398/.423 with 10 homers, 37 RBIs, 82 runs and 28 steals.

The Brewers have gained 15.5 units and are 60-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 48 of those games, compared to 61 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 9.8 units and are 54-54 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 41 of those games, as opposed to 58 that’ve gone under.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes,

  • Milwaukee has recorded 20 extra-base hits over its last five games. Pittsburgh has 14 XBH over its last five.
  • The Brewers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
  • Pittsburgh has recorded 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.8 over its last five.