Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Milwaukee Brewers will head south to face off against the Kansas City Royals at Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium. This interleague showdown will get underway at 8:15 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to Fox Sports Kansas City.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals Odds

Kansas City (+115) is coming into this one as the underdog to Milwaukee (-125) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds sitting at +120 for the Brewers -1.5 runs and -140 for the Royals +1.5 runs.

The Royals are only 5-15 SU and 9-11 ATS. They’ve lost 8.6 units for moneyline bettors and 5.9 units against the spread (ATS). Kansas City has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Brewers are 14-9 SU and have gone 13-10 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 5.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline through the early part of the season and 2.4 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Kansas City games have had an over/under record of 8-11-1 so far in 2018. Brewers games have gone under 13 times, gone over 10 times and pushed on zero occasions.

Right-hander Zach Davies will get the start for the visiting Brewers. Davies is 1-2 with a 4.84 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Royals this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Royals are handing the ball to righty Ian Kennedy (1-2, 2.35 ERA), who has 22 strikeouts and seven walks to his name, as well as a 1.30 WHIP. Kennedy did not record a start against the Brewers in 2017.

Kansas City’s pitchers have given up 5.6 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 3.90 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 7.84 ERA, 1.73 WHIP and 7.1 K/9.

The Kansas City hitters are putting up 3.4 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .243/.318/.387 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Royals’ hitters have been led by third baseman Mike Moustakas and outfielder Jorge Soler. Moustakas is slashing .318/.341/.612 with six home runs, 17 RBIs and 12 runs scored, and Soler’s line sits at .288/.415/.423 with 15 hits, two RBIs and five runs.

Compared to his total season slash line of .144/.245/.258, Soler enjoyed hitting at home last year, slashing .213/.302/.404 across 53 plate appearances.

In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.94 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 7.13 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.64, along with a WHIP of 1.33 and a K/9 of 10.76.

The Brewers offense has slashed .245/.318/.403 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game this season, including 5.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).

Milwaukee’s hitters have been powered by Travis Shaw and Eric Thames, who have combined to launch 11 home runs. Shaw is slashing .289/.392/.518 with four home runs, 10 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Thames is hitting .250/.357/.650 with seven homers, 13 RBIs and 11 runs scored.

The Brewers have gained 4.5 units and are 9-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in seven of those games, as opposed to nine that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Royals have lost 8.2 units and are 5-6 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in four of those games, compared to six that went under the total.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royals Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Kansas City has posted 21.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 22.0 over its last five.
  • The Brewers have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.