Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros Free Pick

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The Houston Astros are facing off against the Milwaukee Brewers at Minute Maid Park. This interleague matchup will be televised across the country on ESPN and the game gets underway 8:10 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers at Houston Astros Odds

Houston (-140) is hosting this one as the favorite over Milwaukee (+130) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total now stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. Runline odds sit at -170 for betting the Brewers +1.5 runs and +150 for the Astros -1.5.

The Brewers have gone 38-29 SU this year and are 34-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 6.2 units for moneyline bettors and 0.3 units ATS. The Astros, on the other hand, are 46-22 SU and 37-30 ATS. The team’s gained 8.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.5 units ATS.

Houston games have an over/under record of 28-38-1 so far in 2019. The Brewers have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 28-37-1.

Right-hander Brandon Woodruff is getting the nod for the visiting Brewers. Woodruff (8-1, 3.87 ERA) has recorded 90 punchouts in 74.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Astros this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Astros are handing the ball to righty Justin Verlander (9-2, 2.31 ERA), who has 110 strikeouts and 19 walks, along with a 0.74 WHIP. Verlander did not register a start against the Brewers in 2018.

As a unit, Houston’s pitchers have yielded 3.7 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.55, a WHIP of 1.05 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 10.0. The bullpen has a 3.44 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.

The Houston offense has produced 5.2 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game over its last 10 games and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .229/.317/.447 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Michael Brantley and Josh Reddick have led the Astros’ offense this year. Brantley is hitting .320/.376/.524 with 10 home runs, 39 RBIs and 32 runs scored, while Reddick is batting .305 with seven homers, 23 RBIs and 28 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.69 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.70 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.46, along with a WHIP of 1.40 and a K-per-9 of 10.10.

Brewers hitters have slashed .254/.336/.457 on their way to 5.1 runs scored per game this season, including 5.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Milwaukee’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain, who have combined to blast 29 home runs. Yelich is slashing .346/.449/.760 with 25 home runs, 54 RBIs, 52 runs and 14 stolen bases. Cain is hitting .253/.313/.372 with four homers, 27 RBIs, 41 runs and six stolen bases.

Brewers at Astros Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Astros, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Milwaukee has tallied 23 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Houston has 17 XBH over its last five.
  • The Brewers have hit 21 home runs in their last 10 games, including 12 over their last five.
  • The Brewers have a team OPS of .794 this season and an OPS of .790 against right-handed pitchers. The Astros’ OPS sits at .821 overall and .805 against righties.
  • Milwaukee has recorded 25.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 28.2 over its last five.
  • The Astros have won four of their last five games SU.