Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Milwaukee Brewers will make a road trip to Chase Field to square off against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will broadcast this NL showdown and the opening pitch is scheduled for 9:40 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Milwaukee (+135) as the underdog to Arizona (-145). The total stands at eight runs and bettors can take either the over or the under for -110. The games most recent runline odds stand at -160 for taking the Brewers +1.5 runs and +140 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Brewers are 24-17 SU and have gone 22-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 7.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline in this young season and 2.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 24-16 SU and 21-18 ATS. The team has gained 11.4 units for moneyline bettors and 3.4 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Diamondbacks games have had an over/under record of 16-21-2 so far in 2018. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 14-24-2.

The right-handed Junior Guerra is getting the nod for the visiting Brewers. Guerra is 2-3 with a 3.09 ERA and 34 strikeouts. He has yet to face Arizona this year, but he did make two starts against the Diamondbacks in 2017, putting together a 0-1 record against them with a 3.09 ERA and eight strikeouts.

The Diamondbacks are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Patrick Corbin (4-0, 2.12 ERA), who has 67 punchouts and 13 walks to his credit, as well as a 0.82 WHIP. Corbin only made one start against the Brewers in 2017 (0-1, 15.75 ERA and three strikeouts across four innings).

As a unit, Arizona’s pitching staff has allowed 3.4 runs per game overall this year. The clubs starters have a 3.63 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.41, a WHIP of 1.06 and a K/9 of 8.1.

Arizona’s hitters have produced 4.1 runs per contest, including 2.7 per game over its last 10 games and 2.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .202/.254/.289 over its last five games and is 0-5 SU during that span.

The Diamondbacks hitters have been led by outfielders A.J. Pollock and David Peralta. Pollock is slashing .301/.358/.637 with 11 home runs, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and nine steals, while Peralta’s line is .296/.381/.519 with seven homers, 21 RBIs and 19 runs.

In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.24 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 6.97 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 2.67, along with a WHIP of 1.32 and a K/9 of 10.17.

Brewers hitters have slashed .242/.313/.390 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.0 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 5.0 per game over the teams last five outings (3-2 SU).

Milwaukee’s hitters have been led by Lorenzo Cain and Jesus Aguilar. Cain is slashing .292/.395/.467 with five home runs, 13 RBIs, 24 runs and eight stolen bases, while Aguilar is slashing .333/.409/.526 with three homers, 14 RBIs and 14 runs scored.

Maintaining a slash line of .318/.400/.621 across 75 such plate appearances, Cain performed well against lefties on the road in 2017 (compared to his overall season slash line of .300/.363/.440).

The Brewers have gained 0.0 units and are 4-6 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in four of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 2.9 units and are 11-11 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in nine of those games, as opposed to 13 which went under the total.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Brewers have won three of their last four games SU.
  • Milwaukee has recorded 22.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25.8 over its last five.
  • The Brewers have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit seven over their last 10.