Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Milwaukee Brewers are ready to play their divisional rival Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. NBC Sports Chicago will broadcast the action and the opening pitch is scheduled for 2:20 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Odds

The Cubs are 12-10 SU and 11-10 ATS. They’ve lost 4.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 1.4 units against the spread (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 16-10 SU and have gone 15-10 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 7.5 units for moneyline bettors over the early portions of the season and 4.8 units ATS. Milwaukeehas covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Chicago games have an 11-10 over/under record so far in 2018. Milwaukee has an over/under record of 10-15.

Southpaw Brent Suter is getting the start for Milwaukee. Suter is 1-2 with a 5.68 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA against Chicago this year (two starts).

The Cubs are putting the ball in the right hand of Yu Darvish (0-2, 6.86 ERA), who has 21 strikeouts and 11 walks this season as well as a 1.63 WHIP. Darvish is 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Milwaukee this year.

Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.74 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 6.62 K/9. The bullpen has logged an outstanding ERA of just 2.45, along with a K-per-9 of 10.60.

The Brewers offense has slashed .245/.316/.395 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 2.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Milwaukee’s hitters have been led by Eric Thames and Travis Shaw, who have combined to launch 12 home runs. Thames is slashing .250/.351/.625 with seven home runs, 13 RBIs and 11 runs scored, while Shaw (.274/.367/.516) is up to five homers, 14 RBIs and 17 runs scored.

For the home team, Chicago’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.68, a WHIP of 1.46 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 2.76 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 11 games against divisional opponents, Cubs starters have an ERA of 2.73 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.15.

The Chicago hitters have put up 5.5 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .264/.319/.420 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Cubs’ offense has been led by second baseman Javier Baez and third baseman Kris Bryant. Baez is slashing .310/.370/.714 with seven home runs, 24 RBIs and 19 runs scored, and Bryant’s line sits at .319/.467/.536 with 22 hits, 11 RBIs and 12 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .273/.317/.480, Baez enjoyed hitting against lefties at home in 2017, slashing .358/.397/.679 over 58 such plate appearances.

The Brewers have gained 6.5 units and are 11-7 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in seven of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Cubs have lost 2.3 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to four that went under.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Cubs have won three of their last four games SU.
  • Chicago has recorded 26 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23 over its last five.
  • The Brewers have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cubs have hit 11 over their last 10.