Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Pittsburgh Pirates are prepared to battle against the Milwaukee Brewers at PNC Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be showing the matchup.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Milwaukee (-115) is the favorite against Pittsburgh (+105) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 8 runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds sitting at +130 for the Brewers -1.5 runs and -150 for the Pirates +1.5.

The Pirates are 78-75 straight up (SU) and 73-79 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 3.0 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 14.4 units (ATS). Pittsburgh has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 88-67 SU and have gone 80-74 ATS. In total, the team’s accumulated 16.2 units for moneyline bettors and 2.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Pirates games have a 67-75-10 over/under record in 2018. Milwaukee has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 72-78-4.

The southpaw Wade Miley is the probable starter for the visiting Brewers. Miley is 5-2 with a 2.08 ERA and 47 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 3.60 ERA against Pittsburgh this year (two starts).

The Pirates will send righty Nick Kingham (5-6, 4.69 ERA) to the mound. Kingham has 64 punchouts and 21 walks to his name, as well as a 1.23 WHIP. Kingham is 2-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 5.27 ERA over two starts against Milwaukee this year.

As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have a 3.94 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.13 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 68 games against divisional opponents, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.37 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.79.

Pittsburgh’s hitters have put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .298/.344/.433 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Pirates’ offense has been led by outfielders Starling Marte and Corey Dickerson. Marte is hitting .277/.322/.452 with 19 home runs, 69 RBIs, 76 runs and 33 steals, while Dickerson is batting .298 with 12 homers, 53 RBIs and 63 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.92 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.76 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.55, along with a K-per-9 of 10.19.

Brewers hitters have slashed .250/.321/.420 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain continue to lead Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is slashing .320/.388/.571 with 31 home runs, 93 RBIs, 106 runs and 20 stolen bases. Cain (.308/.397/.423) is up to 10 homers, 37 RBIs, 82 runs and 28 stolen bases.

The Brewers have gained 16.5 units and are 61-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 49 of those games, compared to 61 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 5.8 units and are 19-24 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 25 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve cashed the under.

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Pirates, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in five of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
  • The Brewers have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.
  • Pittsburgh has posted 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.8 over its last five.
  • The Pirates have won six of their last seven games SU.