Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Milwaukee Brewers are ready to take on their divisional rival Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 1:35 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Milwaukee (+100) as the underdog to Pittsburgh (-110). Bettors can wager on the games total with odds posted at even money (+100) for over 9 runs and -120 for under 9. You can also bet on the games runline with the current odds sitting at -210 for the Brewers +1.5 runs and +175 for the Pirates -1.5.

The Brewers are 55-42 SU and have gone 50-45 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 12.8 units for moneyline bettors and 2.9 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Pirates, on the other hand, are 47-49 SU and 44-50 ATS. The team has lost 6.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 8.0 units ATS. Pittsburgh has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Pirates games have had an over/under record of 45-42-7 thus far in 2018. The Brewers have been a decent under bet with a total record of 42-50-3.

Right-hander Jhoulys Chacin is projected to start for the visiting Brewers. Chacin (8-3, 3.78 ERA) has recorded 86 punchouts in 109.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with six strikeouts and a 1.46 ERA against Pittsburgh this year (two starts).

The Pirates are putting the ball in the right hand of Joe Musgrove (3-4, 3.77 ERA), who has 45 strikeouts and 12 walks as well as a 1.37 WHIP. Musgrove has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.89 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 7.78 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.25, along with a K-per-9 of 10.23.

Brewers hitters have slashed .245/.317/.408 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 3.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over the teams last five contests (0-5 SU).

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have led Milwaukee’s hitters. Yelich is slashing .288/.361/.454 with 11 home runs, 43 RBIs, 58 runs and 12 steals. Cain has a .298 average with eight homers, 27 RBIs, 50 runs and 18 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Pittsburgh’s pitchers have given up 4.6 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.33 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 38 games against NL Central opponents, Pirates starters have an ERA of 3.18 and the bullpens ERA is 4.00.

The Pittsburgh offense has produced 4.4 runs per outing, including 4.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .277/.345/.516 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte have led the Pirates hitters this year. Dickerson is hitting .304/.339/.458 with six home runs, 35 RBIs and 38 runs scored, while Marte’s line is .286/.335/.484 with 13 homers, 43 RBIs, 52 runs and 24 stolen bases.

The Brewers have gained 13.6 units and are 42-34 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 31 of those games, as opposed to 42 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Pirates have lost 0.8 units and are 33-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 29 of those games, as opposed to 33 which went under the total.

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Pirates, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in five of Milwaukee’s last seven games.
  • The Brewers have lost six of their last seven games SU while the Pirates have won seven of their last eight.
  • Milwaukee has posted 21.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.2 over its last five.
  • Each team has hit 11 home runs over its last 10 games.