Milwaukee Brewers at Miami Marlins Free Pick

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The Milwaukee Brewers will be taking the field against the Miami Marlins in a Wednesday night game. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be showing this NL matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Miami (receiving +150 odds) is heading into this contest as an underdog against Milwaukee and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs (-115 for the over and -105 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Brewers -1.5 runs (-110) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-110).

The Brewers have gone 76-68 SU this year and are 65-78 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.6 units for moneyline bettors and 19.2 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 51-93 SU and 71-72 ATS. The team has lost 13.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.8 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Miami games have an over/under record of 68-64-11 in 2019. The Brewers have been a good under bet with a total record of 62-76-5.

Right-hander Zach Davies will get the start for the visiting Brewers. Davies (9-7, 3.69 ERA) has racked up 91 strikeouts in 141.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2018, either.

The Marlins are handing the ball to righty Pablo Lopez (5-8, 4.75 ERA), who has 83 strikeouts and 19 walks, along with a 1.16 WHIP. Lopez is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Milwaukee this year.

As a unit, Miami’s pitching staff has yielded 5.0 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.52 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.14 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.2 K/9.

The Miami offense is putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .250/.344/.339 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson have led the Marlins’ batters this year. Castro is hitting .269/.298/.424 with 19 home runs, 77 RBIs and 59 runs scored, while Anderson’s line sits at .261/.342/.468 with 20 homers, 66 RBIs and 57 runs.

In the other dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.62 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.37 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.55, along with a WHIP of 1.38.

Brewers hitters have slashed .249/.332/.441 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (5-0 SU).

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain continue to lead Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is slashing .329/.429/.671 with 44 home runs, 97 RBIs, 100 runs and 30 steals, while Cain (.253/.321/.353) has produced eight homers, 42 RBIs, 68 runs and 16 stolen bases.

The Brewers have gained 0.4 units and are 46-51 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 47 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Marlins have lost 12.2 units and are 50-56 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 47 of those games, compared to 51 that went under the total.

Brewers at Marlins Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has cashed in three of Milwaukee’s last seven contests.
  • The Brewers have a team OPS of .772 this season and an OPS of .775 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS stands at .671 overall and .655 against righties.
  • The Marlins have dropped four of their last five games SU.
  • Milwaukee has posted 20.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 23.6 over its last five.
  • The Brewers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit eight over their last 10.