Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves Free Pick

Jonathan GarosBaseball, MLB

The Atlanta Braves are playing host to the Milwaukee Brewers at SunTrust Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will televise this NL matchup and the action gets underway at 7:35 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves Odds

Oddsmakers have placed equal -105 moneyline odds on each team. Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -115 for over 8.5 runs and -105 for under 8.5. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Brewers -1.5 runs (+140) and Braves +1.5 runs (-160).

The Brewers have gone 65-50 SU this year and are 61-56 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 12.8 units for moneyline gamblers and 1.8 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Braves, on the other hand, are 60-48 SU and 58-52 ATS. The team has gained 18.6 units for moneyline bettors and 2.6 units ATS. Atlanta has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Braves games have an over/under record of 54-52-4 in 2018. The Brewers have an over/under record of 54-59-4.

Freddy Peralta will get the start for the visiting Brewers. Peralta (5-2, 3.54 ERA) has racked up 71 punchouts in 53.1 innings so far. He’s 1-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA against Atlanta this year.

The Braves are preparing to start righty Julio Teheran (8-7, 4.48 ERA), who has 111 punchouts and 61 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.28 WHIP. Teheran has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 21.00 ERA and three strikeouts across three innings).

As a unit, Atlanta’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have an ERA of 3.71, a WHIP of 1.26 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.7. The bullpen has a 4.06 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

The Atlanta offense has produced 4.8 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .274/.306/.451 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Braves’ hitters have been led by right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman. Markakis is slashing .319/.386/.492 with 13 home runs, 68 RBIs and 62 runs scored, while Freeman is batting .316 with 18 homers, 69 RBIs and 66 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.88 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.81 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.60, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K-per-9 of 10.16.

Brewers hitters have slashed .246/.317/.411 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain continue to lead Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is slashing .326/.387/.542 with 17 home runs, 59 RBIs, 78 runs and 14 stolen bases, while Cain is slashing .293/.389/.416 with eight homers, 30 RBIs, 55 runs and 19 stolen bases.

The Brewers have gained 15.7 units and are 49-39 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over’s hit in 36 of those games, compared to 48 that’ve hit the under against ies.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Braves, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends,

  • Milwaukee has tallied 20 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Atlanta has 16 XBH over its last five.
  • The Brewers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.
  • Milwaukee has averaged 22.5 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 outings and 22.0 over its last five.
  • The Braves have won six of their last seven games SU.