Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

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The Arizona Diamondbacks are set to host the Milwaukee Brewers at Chase Field. Fox Sports Arizona will televise this NL showdown and the opening pitch is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. ET.

Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Milwaukee (receiving -150) is entering this one as the favorite over Arizona (+140) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -105 for the Brewers -1.5 runs and -115 for the Diamondbacks +1.5.

The Brewers are 52-48 SU and have gone 44-55 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 7.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 14.9 units ATS. Milwaukee is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Diamondbacks, on the other hand, are 50-49 SU and 57-41 ATS. They’ve gained 4.2 units for moneyline bettors and 13.2 units ATS. Arizona has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven.

Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 47-45-6 thus far in 2019. Milwaukee has been a decent under bet with a total record of 44-51-4.

Right-hander Brandon Woodruff will get the start for Milwaukee. Woodruff (11-3, 3.53 ERA) has racked up 133 strikeouts in 114.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year and only made one start against them in 2018 (1-0, 2.57 ERA and nine strikeouts over seven innings).

The Diamondbacks are countering with Alex Young (3-0, 0.96 ERA). Young has 13 strikeouts and three walks, along with a WHIP of 0.48. Young did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2018.

Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 4.5 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 4.11 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.51 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.8 K/9.

The Arizona hitters have produced 5.2 runs per outing, including 5.9 per game over its last 10 games and 8.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .303/.395/.551 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Ketel Marte and Eduardo Escobar have led the charge for the Diamondbacks’ batters this year. Marte is hitting .318/.368/.576 with 21 home runs, 60 RBIs and 63 runs scored, and Escobar is hitting .288 with 22 homers, 77 RBIs and 63 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Milwaukee’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.68 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.47 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.50, along with a WHIP of 1.40 and a K/9 of 10.04.

Brewers hitters have slashed .249/.330/.452 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game in 2019, including 6.0 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 7.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Right fielder Christian Yelich and second baseman Mike Moustakas continue to lead Milwaukee’s offense. Yelich is hitting .337/.436/.721 with 35 home runs, 76 RBIs, 76 runs and 23 stolen bases, while Moustakas (.267/.337/.553) has produced 26 homers, 59 RBIs and 60 runs scored.

The Brewers have lost 2.7 units and are 12-17 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 1.9 units and are 42-28 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 30 of those games, as opposed to 37 which went under the total.

Brewers at Diamondbacks Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Milwaukee has tallied 26 extra-base hits over its last five games. Arizona has 25 XBH over its last five.
  • The Brewers have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.
  • The Brewers have a total OPS of .782 this season and an OPS of .791 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Diamondbacks’ OPS stands at .777 overall and .850 against lefties.
  • Milwaukee has posted 26.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 27.6 over its last five.
  • The Brewers have won four of their last five games SU.